The Republican Party leads trader consensus in Alabama's 2nd congressional district at 63% implied probability due to ongoing litigation over the state's mid-decade redistricting plan, which could reshape the seat's demographics ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures, who won the prior cycle by roughly nine points under previous lines, faces six Republican primary challengers on August 11 after the filing deadline closed in late May. Expert ratings classify the district as Solid Democratic under the current map with a D+5 partisan voting index, yet market pricing reflects uncertainty over court outcomes that might reduce the district's Black voting-age population share. Primaries remain the next scheduled catalyst before the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$30,270 ปริมาณ
$30,270 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
35%
$30,270 ปริมาณ
$30,270 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,699 ปริมาณ
63%
Democratic Party
$13,572 ปริมาณ
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party leads trader consensus in Alabama's 2nd congressional district at 63% implied probability due to ongoing litigation over the state's mid-decade redistricting plan, which could reshape the seat's demographics ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures, who won the prior cycle by roughly nine points under previous lines, faces six Republican primary challengers on August 11 after the filing deadline closed in late May. Expert ratings classify the district as Solid Democratic under the current map with a D+5 partisan voting index, yet market pricing reflects uncertainty over court outcomes that might reduce the district's Black voting-age population share. Primaries remain the next scheduled catalyst before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,270วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party leads trader consensus in Alabama's 2nd congressional district at 63% implied probability due to ongoing litigation over the state's mid-decade redistricting plan, which could reshape the seat's demographics ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures, who won the prior cycle by roughly nine points under previous lines, faces six Republican primary challengers on August 11 after the filing deadline closed in late May. Expert ratings classify the district as Solid Democratic under the current map with a D+5 partisan voting index, yet market pricing reflects uncertainty over court outcomes that might reduce the district's Black voting-age population share. Primaries remain the next scheduled catalyst before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,270วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party leads trader consensus in Alabama's 2nd congressional district at 63% implied probability due to ongoing litigation over the state's mid-decade redistricting plan, which could reshape the seat's demographics ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures, who won the prior cycle by roughly nine points under previous lines, faces six Republican primary challengers on August 11 after the filing deadline closed in late May. Expert ratings classify the district as Solid Democratic under the current map with a D+5 partisan voting index, yet market pricing reflects uncertainty over court outcomes that might reduce the district's Black voting-age population share. Primaries remain the next scheduled catalyst before the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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