Recent redistricting approved by Alabama's legislature in May 2026 altered AL-02 boundaries, incorporating additional rural and Wiregrass areas while adjusting urban sections of Montgomery and Mobile, shifting the district's partisan balance and prompting traders to price a Republican victory at 67.5%. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures, who won the prior seat with 54.6% in 2024, faces six Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 11 contest, with the general election set for November 3. Ongoing map litigation introduces procedural uncertainty that could affect candidate positioning or turnout, though the current consensus reflects the revised district's electoral math favoring the GOP in a midterm environment where the out-of-power party typically gains ground.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$29,784 ปริมาณ
$29,784 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
68%
Democratic Party
33%
$29,784 ปริมาณ
$29,784 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,593 ปริมาณ
68%
Democratic Party
$13,192 ปริมาณ
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting approved by Alabama's legislature in May 2026 altered AL-02 boundaries, incorporating additional rural and Wiregrass areas while adjusting urban sections of Montgomery and Mobile, shifting the district's partisan balance and prompting traders to price a Republican victory at 67.5%. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures, who won the prior seat with 54.6% in 2024, faces six Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 11 contest, with the general election set for November 3. Ongoing map litigation introduces procedural uncertainty that could affect candidate positioning or turnout, though the current consensus reflects the revised district's electoral math favoring the GOP in a midterm environment where the out-of-power party typically gains ground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,784วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting approved by Alabama's legislature in May 2026 altered AL-02 boundaries, incorporating additional rural and Wiregrass areas while adjusting urban sections of Montgomery and Mobile, shifting the district's partisan balance and prompting traders to price a Republican victory at 67.5%. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures, who won the prior seat with 54.6% in 2024, faces six Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 11 contest, with the general election set for November 3. Ongoing map litigation introduces procedural uncertainty that could affect candidate positioning or turnout, though the current consensus reflects the revised district's electoral math favoring the GOP in a midterm environment where the out-of-power party typically gains ground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,784วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting approved by Alabama's legislature in May 2026 altered AL-02 boundaries, incorporating additional rural and Wiregrass areas while adjusting urban sections of Montgomery and Mobile, shifting the district's partisan balance and prompting traders to price a Republican victory at 67.5%. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures, who won the prior seat with 54.6% in 2024, faces six Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 11 contest, with the general election set for November 3. Ongoing map litigation introduces procedural uncertainty that could affect candidate positioning or turnout, though the current consensus reflects the revised district's electoral math favoring the GOP in a midterm environment where the out-of-power party typically gains ground.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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