Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party nominee at 91.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and history of double-digit GOP victories, including Rep. Sam Graves' consistent 70%+ margins before his late March 2026 retirement announcement opened the race. Despite crowded primaries featuring six Republicans—such as businessman-veteran Jim Ingram and pastor Cody Oshel—and three Democrats with minimal fundraising under $50,000 each, forecasters like Cook Political rate it Solid Republican. Scenarios that could challenge this include a divisive GOP primary on August 4 weakening the nominee, a high-profile Democratic recruit boosting turnout in this rural northern Missouri district, or post-primary scandals, though structural leans favor Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$28,012 ปริมาณ
$28,012 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$28,012 ปริมาณ
$28,012 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$22,456 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$5,555 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party nominee at 91.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and history of double-digit GOP victories, including Rep. Sam Graves' consistent 70%+ margins before his late March 2026 retirement announcement opened the race. Despite crowded primaries featuring six Republicans—such as businessman-veteran Jim Ingram and pastor Cody Oshel—and three Democrats with minimal fundraising under $50,000 each, forecasters like Cook Political rate it Solid Republican. Scenarios that could challenge this include a divisive GOP primary on August 4 weakening the nominee, a high-profile Democratic recruit boosting turnout in this rural northern Missouri district, or post-primary scandals, though structural leans favor Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,012วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party nominee at 91.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and history of double-digit GOP victories, including Rep. Sam Graves' consistent 70%+ margins before his late March 2026 retirement announcement opened the race. Despite crowded primaries featuring six Republicans—such as businessman-veteran Jim Ingram and pastor Cody Oshel—and three Democrats with minimal fundraising under $50,000 each, forecasters like Cook Political rate it Solid Republican. Scenarios that could challenge this include a divisive GOP primary on August 4 weakening the nominee, a high-profile Democratic recruit boosting turnout in this rural northern Missouri district, or post-primary scandals, though structural leans favor Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,012วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party nominee at 91.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and history of double-digit GOP victories, including Rep. Sam Graves' consistent 70%+ margins before his late March 2026 retirement announcement opened the race. Despite crowded primaries featuring six Republicans—such as businessman-veteran Jim Ingram and pastor Cody Oshel—and three Democrats with minimal fundraising under $50,000 each, forecasters like Cook Political rate it Solid Republican. Scenarios that could challenge this include a divisive GOP primary on August 4 weakening the nominee, a high-profile Democratic recruit boosting turnout in this rural northern Missouri district, or post-primary scandals, though structural leans favor Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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