The Missouri 6th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Republican general election victory. Sam Graves's retirement after more than two decades created an open seat, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball continue to classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary contenders filed ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic options remain limited. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually divisive Republican primary nominee, a national Democratic surge, or exceptionally low Republican turnout on November 3, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-06 House Election Winner
$29,268 ปริมาณ
$29,268 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$29,268 ปริมาณ
$29,268 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Missouri 6th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Republican general election victory. Sam Graves's retirement after more than two decades created an open seat, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball continue to classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary contenders filed ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic options remain limited. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually divisive Republican primary nominee, a national Democratic surge, or exceptionally low Republican turnout on November 3, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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