Missouri's 6th Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings, with trader consensus reflecting a 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party despite incumbent Rep. Sam Graves' retirement announcement on March 27, 2026, which opened the race and drew six GOP primary contenders by early April. The district's strong partisan lean—evident in Graves' dominant 2024 victory—and rural northern Missouri demographics favor the GOP, with no notable Democratic recruitment or polling shifts emerging in the past three weeks. The August 4 Republican primary could produce a nominee tested by intra-party clashes over Trump loyalty, but a Democratic upset would require a fractured GOP victor, high Democratic turnout in midterms, or national wave dynamics before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$27,839 ปริมาณ
$27,839 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$27,839 ปริมาณ
$27,839 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$22,284 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$5,555 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings, with trader consensus reflecting a 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party despite incumbent Rep. Sam Graves' retirement announcement on March 27, 2026, which opened the race and drew six GOP primary contenders by early April. The district's strong partisan lean—evident in Graves' dominant 2024 victory—and rural northern Missouri demographics favor the GOP, with no notable Democratic recruitment or polling shifts emerging in the past three weeks. The August 4 Republican primary could produce a nominee tested by intra-party clashes over Trump loyalty, but a Democratic upset would require a fractured GOP victor, high Democratic turnout in midterms, or national wave dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,839วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings, with trader consensus reflecting a 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party despite incumbent Rep. Sam Graves' retirement announcement on March 27, 2026, which opened the race and drew six GOP primary contenders by early April. The district's strong partisan lean—evident in Graves' dominant 2024 victory—and rural northern Missouri demographics favor the GOP, with no notable Democratic recruitment or polling shifts emerging in the past three weeks. The August 4 Republican primary could produce a nominee tested by intra-party clashes over Trump loyalty, but a Democratic upset would require a fractured GOP victor, high Democratic turnout in midterms, or national wave dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,839วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 6th Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings, with trader consensus reflecting a 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party despite incumbent Rep. Sam Graves' retirement announcement on March 27, 2026, which opened the race and drew six GOP primary contenders by early April. The district's strong partisan lean—evident in Graves' dominant 2024 victory—and rural northern Missouri demographics favor the GOP, with no notable Democratic recruitment or polling shifts emerging in the past three weeks. The August 4 Republican primary could produce a nominee tested by intra-party clashes over Trump loyalty, but a Democratic upset would require a fractured GOP victor, high Democratic turnout in midterms, or national wave dynamics before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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