Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, where the partisan voting index favors the GOP by roughly six points and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican. Wagner, first elected in 2012, won her most recent general election with 54.5 percent and faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the August 4, 2026, nominating contests. Democrats have placed the district on their target list for the first time since 2020, citing suburban shifts among college-educated voters, yet multiple Democratic primary candidates remain and no polling shows a viable general-election threat. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee an implied 78.5 percent probability of victory, reflecting the district’s structural advantages and the early stage of the cycle before fall campaigning intensifies.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-02 House Election Winner
MO-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,188 ปริมาณ
79%
Democratic Party
$2,183 ปริมาณ
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, where the partisan voting index favors the GOP by roughly six points and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican. Wagner, first elected in 2012, won her most recent general election with 54.5 percent and faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the August 4, 2026, nominating contests. Democrats have placed the district on their target list for the first time since 2020, citing suburban shifts among college-educated voters, yet multiple Democratic primary candidates remain and no polling shows a viable general-election threat. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee an implied 78.5 percent probability of victory, reflecting the district’s structural advantages and the early stage of the cycle before fall campaigning intensifies.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,370วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, where the partisan voting index favors the GOP by roughly six points and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican. Wagner, first elected in 2012, won her most recent general election with 54.5 percent and faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the August 4, 2026, nominating contests. Democrats have placed the district on their target list for the first time since 2020, citing suburban shifts among college-educated voters, yet multiple Democratic primary candidates remain and no polling shows a viable general-election threat. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee an implied 78.5 percent probability of victory, reflecting the district’s structural advantages and the early stage of the cycle before fall campaigning intensifies.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,370วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, where the partisan voting index favors the GOP by roughly six points and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican. Wagner, first elected in 2012, won her most recent general election with 54.5 percent and faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the August 4, 2026, nominating contests. Democrats have placed the district on their target list for the first time since 2020, citing suburban shifts among college-educated voters, yet multiple Democratic primary candidates remain and no polling shows a viable general-election threat. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee an implied 78.5 percent probability of victory, reflecting the district’s structural advantages and the early stage of the cycle before fall campaigning intensifies.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย