Missouri's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+29 and history of Democratic general election margins exceeding 70%, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 contest. Incumbent Wesley Bell, who won 75.9% in 2024, faces a high-profile August 4 Democratic primary rematch against former Rep. Cori Bush, bolstered by his $1.2 million cash on hand versus her $120,000 as of March 31 filing deadline. The Republican primary pits low-fundraising Paul Berry against 2024 nominee Andrew Jones Jr., who garnered just 18.4%. Realistic challenges include a scandal hitting the Democratic nominee, a weaker primary winner, or an overwhelming national Republican wave, though structural district advantages limit upset potential.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-01 House Election Winner
MO-01 House Election Winner
$11,684 ปริมาณ
$11,684 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$11,684 ปริมาณ
$11,684 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,498 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$6,187 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+29 and history of Democratic general election margins exceeding 70%, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 contest. Incumbent Wesley Bell, who won 75.9% in 2024, faces a high-profile August 4 Democratic primary rematch against former Rep. Cori Bush, bolstered by his $1.2 million cash on hand versus her $120,000 as of March 31 filing deadline. The Republican primary pits low-fundraising Paul Berry against 2024 nominee Andrew Jones Jr., who garnered just 18.4%. Realistic challenges include a scandal hitting the Democratic nominee, a weaker primary winner, or an overwhelming national Republican wave, though structural district advantages limit upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,684วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+29 and history of Democratic general election margins exceeding 70%, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 contest. Incumbent Wesley Bell, who won 75.9% in 2024, faces a high-profile August 4 Democratic primary rematch against former Rep. Cori Bush, bolstered by his $1.2 million cash on hand versus her $120,000 as of March 31 filing deadline. The Republican primary pits low-fundraising Paul Berry against 2024 nominee Andrew Jones Jr., who garnered just 18.4%. Realistic challenges include a scandal hitting the Democratic nominee, a weaker primary winner, or an overwhelming national Republican wave, though structural district advantages limit upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,684วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+29 and history of Democratic general election margins exceeding 70%, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 contest. Incumbent Wesley Bell, who won 75.9% in 2024, faces a high-profile August 4 Democratic primary rematch against former Rep. Cori Bush, bolstered by his $1.2 million cash on hand versus her $120,000 as of March 31 filing deadline. The Republican primary pits low-fundraising Paul Berry against 2024 nominee Andrew Jones Jr., who garnered just 18.4%. Realistic challenges include a scandal hitting the Democratic nominee, a weaker primary winner, or an overwhelming national Republican wave, though structural district advantages limit upset potential.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย