Missouri’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, reflected in the incumbent’s 2024 general-election victory of nearly 76 percent. With the August 4 primary and November 3 general election still ahead, trader consensus on a Democratic win rests on the seat’s structural partisan tilt, consistent past results, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Recent candidate filings confirm multiple Democratic contenders, including the sitting representative, alongside Republican primary entrants, yet no developments have altered the underlying electorate. A Democratic primary winner is expected to face only nominal opposition in the general. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually contentious primary producing nominee weakness, successful legal challenges to the current map, or unforeseen national shifts that dramatically boost Republican turnout, though each remains low-probability based on current conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-01 House Election Winner
MO-01 House Election Winner
$23,821 ปริมาณ
$23,821 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$23,821 ปริมาณ
$23,821 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,672 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$10,149 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, reflected in the incumbent’s 2024 general-election victory of nearly 76 percent. With the August 4 primary and November 3 general election still ahead, trader consensus on a Democratic win rests on the seat’s structural partisan tilt, consistent past results, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Recent candidate filings confirm multiple Democratic contenders, including the sitting representative, alongside Republican primary entrants, yet no developments have altered the underlying electorate. A Democratic primary winner is expected to face only nominal opposition in the general. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually contentious primary producing nominee weakness, successful legal challenges to the current map, or unforeseen national shifts that dramatically boost Republican turnout, though each remains low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,821วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, reflected in the incumbent’s 2024 general-election victory of nearly 76 percent. With the August 4 primary and November 3 general election still ahead, trader consensus on a Democratic win rests on the seat’s structural partisan tilt, consistent past results, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Recent candidate filings confirm multiple Democratic contenders, including the sitting representative, alongside Republican primary entrants, yet no developments have altered the underlying electorate. A Democratic primary winner is expected to face only nominal opposition in the general. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually contentious primary producing nominee weakness, successful legal challenges to the current map, or unforeseen national shifts that dramatically boost Republican turnout, though each remains low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,821วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, reflected in the incumbent’s 2024 general-election victory of nearly 76 percent. With the August 4 primary and November 3 general election still ahead, trader consensus on a Democratic win rests on the seat’s structural partisan tilt, consistent past results, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Recent candidate filings confirm multiple Democratic contenders, including the sitting representative, alongside Republican primary entrants, yet no developments have altered the underlying electorate. A Democratic primary winner is expected to face only nominal opposition in the general. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually contentious primary producing nominee weakness, successful legal challenges to the current map, or unforeseen national shifts that dramatically boost Republican turnout, though each remains low-probability based on current conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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