Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors CDU as the winner of the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election to the Abgeordnetenhaus, reflecting consistent poll leads around 21-22% in the latest surveys, including INSA's April 14 readout showing 21% versus AfD and SPD at 17% each. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD coalition holds power since 2023, bolstering CDU's frontrunner status amid national momentum for Chancellor Friedrich Merz's conservatives following recent state election successes. Declines for SPD and Grüne to 15-17%, stable Linke support near 15%, and low FDP/BSW shares reinforce CDU's edge under proportional representation, though coalition negotiations post-election loom as tight with no outright majority projected. Volatility persists with five months until voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งแห่งรัฐเบอร์ลิน
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งแห่งรัฐเบอร์ลิน
CDU 56%
Grüne 15.3%
Linke 12%
AfD 9.9%
$2,573,906 ปริมาณ
$2,573,906 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
56%
Grüne
15%
Linke
12%
AfD
10%
SPD
7%
BSW
1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU 56%
Grüne 15.3%
Linke 12%
AfD 9.9%
$2,573,906 ปริมาณ
$2,573,906 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$15,434 ปริมาณ
56%
Grüne
$27,984 ปริมาณ
15%
Linke
$11,660 ปริมาณ
12%
AfD
$2,187,507 ปริมาณ
10%
SPD
$287,440 ปริมาณ
7%
BSW
$26,369 ปริมาณ
1%
FDP
$10,379 ปริมาณ
<1%
FW
$7,131 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors CDU as the winner of the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election to the Abgeordnetenhaus, reflecting consistent poll leads around 21-22% in the latest surveys, including INSA's April 14 readout showing 21% versus AfD and SPD at 17% each. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD coalition holds power since 2023, bolstering CDU's frontrunner status amid national momentum for Chancellor Friedrich Merz's conservatives following recent state election successes. Declines for SPD and Grüne to 15-17%, stable Linke support near 15%, and low FDP/BSW shares reinforce CDU's edge under proportional representation, though coalition negotiations post-election loom as tight with no outright majority projected. Volatility persists with five months until voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,573,906วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors CDU as the winner of the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election to the Abgeordnetenhaus, reflecting consistent poll leads around 21-22% in the latest surveys, including INSA's April 14 readout showing 21% versus AfD and SPD at 17% each. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD coalition holds power since 2023, bolstering CDU's frontrunner status amid national momentum for Chancellor Friedrich Merz's conservatives following recent state election successes. Declines for SPD and Grüne to 15-17%, stable Linke support near 15%, and low FDP/BSW shares reinforce CDU's edge under proportional representation, though coalition negotiations post-election loom as tight with no outright majority projected. Volatility persists with five months until voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,573,906วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors CDU as the winner of the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election to the Abgeordnetenhaus, reflecting consistent poll leads around 21-22% in the latest surveys, including INSA's April 14 readout showing 21% versus AfD and SPD at 17% each. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD coalition holds power since 2023, bolstering CDU's frontrunner status amid national momentum for Chancellor Friedrich Merz's conservatives following recent state election successes. Declines for SPD and Grüne to 15-17%, stable Linke support near 15%, and low FDP/BSW shares reinforce CDU's edge under proportional representation, though coalition negotiations post-election loom as tight with no outright majority projected. Volatility persists with five months until voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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