Adilet holds a commanding 99.5% implied probability in the Kurultai party-list election due to its June 2026 merger with the former ruling Amanat party, which previously secured a parliamentary majority, combined with strong alignment to President Tokayev and the limited field of seven registered contestants. The August 23 vote under the new unicameral 145-seat legislature and proportional system favors the consolidated pro-presidential force amid ongoing campaign activity. Other parties such as Auyl, Aq Jol, Respublica, and JSDP face significant structural barriers from historical vote shares and weaker organizational reach. Late shifts could arise only from unforeseen campaign events, turnout anomalies, or procedural disputes before results finalize.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKazakhstan Kurultai Election: Party Winner
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Party Winner
Adilet 99.5%
Aq Jol <1%
QHP <1%
JSDP <1%
$11,566 ปริมาณ
$11,566 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
Adilet
100%
Aq Jol
<1%
QHP
<1%
JSDP
<1%
Respublica
<1%
Baytaq
<1%
Auyl
<1%
Adilet 99.5%
Aq Jol <1%
QHP <1%
JSDP <1%
$11,566 ปริมาณ
$11,566 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
Adilet
$3,915 ปริมาณ
100%
Aq Jol
$2,174 ปริมาณ
<1%
QHP
$1,002 ปริมาณ
<1%
JSDP
$1,931 ปริมาณ
<1%
Respublica
$797 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baytaq
$908 ปริมาณ
<1%
Auyl
$839 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.Adilet holds a commanding 99.5% implied probability in the Kurultai party-list election due to its June 2026 merger with the former ruling Amanat party, which previously secured a parliamentary majority, combined with strong alignment to President Tokayev and the limited field of seven registered contestants. The August 23 vote under the new unicameral 145-seat legislature and proportional system favors the consolidated pro-presidential force amid ongoing campaign activity. Other parties such as Auyl, Aq Jol, Respublica, and JSDP face significant structural barriers from historical vote shares and weaker organizational reach. Late shifts could arise only from unforeseen campaign events, turnout anomalies, or procedural disputes before results finalize.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,566วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.Adilet holds a commanding 99.5% implied probability in the Kurultai party-list election due to its June 2026 merger with the former ruling Amanat party, which previously secured a parliamentary majority, combined with strong alignment to President Tokayev and the limited field of seven registered contestants. The August 23 vote under the new unicameral 145-seat legislature and proportional system favors the consolidated pro-presidential force amid ongoing campaign activity. Other parties such as Auyl, Aq Jol, Respublica, and JSDP face significant structural barriers from historical vote shares and weaker organizational reach. Late shifts could arise only from unforeseen campaign events, turnout anomalies, or procedural disputes before results finalize.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,566วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Adilet holds a commanding 99.5% implied probability in the Kurultai party-list election due to its June 2026 merger with the former ruling Amanat party, which previously secured a parliamentary majority, combined with strong alignment to President Tokayev and the limited field of seven registered contestants. The August 23 vote under the new unicameral 145-seat legislature and proportional system favors the consolidated pro-presidential force amid ongoing campaign activity. Other parties such as Auyl, Aq Jol, Respublica, and JSDP face significant structural barriers from historical vote shares and weaker organizational reach. Late shifts could arise only from unforeseen campaign events, turnout anomalies, or procedural disputes before results finalize.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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