The Socialist Party's selection of a closed primary among members and allied socialist groups for October 2026 has kept the 2027 presidential nominee contest tightly contested, with trader odds clustered near even for several figures. Internal divisions between those favoring a broader left alliance and others preferring an independent moderate candidate have delayed commitments, while polling strength for Raphaël Glucksmann has not yet translated into confirmed participation. Recent declarations by Ségolène Royal and Philippe Brun, alongside positioning from Olivier Faure, Boris Vallaud, and Jérôme Guedj, underscore the open field, though François Hollande and Bernard Cazeneuve remain longer shots. Developments such as Glucksmann's summer decision timeline or shifts in party unity could widen gaps ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRaphael Glucksmann 37%
Boris Vallaud 37%
Olivier Faure 20%
Segolene Royal 5.9%
$15,697 ปริมาณ
$15,697 ปริมาณ
Raphael Glucksmann
37%
Boris Vallaud
37%
Olivier Faure
20%
Segolene Royal
6%
Jérôme Guedj
5%
Carole Delga
4%
Philippe Brun
4%
Karim Bouamrane
3%
Francois Hollande
3%
Bernard Cazeneuve
1%
Raphael Glucksmann 37%
Boris Vallaud 37%
Olivier Faure 20%
Segolene Royal 5.9%
$15,697 ปริมาณ
$15,697 ปริมาณ
Raphael Glucksmann
37%
Boris Vallaud
37%
Olivier Faure
20%
Segolene Royal
6%
Jérôme Guedj
5%
Carole Delga
4%
Philippe Brun
4%
Karim Bouamrane
3%
Francois Hollande
3%
Bernard Cazeneuve
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 13, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party's selection of a closed primary among members and allied socialist groups for October 2026 has kept the 2027 presidential nominee contest tightly contested, with trader odds clustered near even for several figures. Internal divisions between those favoring a broader left alliance and others preferring an independent moderate candidate have delayed commitments, while polling strength for Raphaël Glucksmann has not yet translated into confirmed participation. Recent declarations by Ségolène Royal and Philippe Brun, alongside positioning from Olivier Faure, Boris Vallaud, and Jérôme Guedj, underscore the open field, though François Hollande and Bernard Cazeneuve remain longer shots. Developments such as Glucksmann's summer decision timeline or shifts in party unity could widen gaps ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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