**The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026, called after Nigel Farage’s resignation to re-contest the seat, features an electorate of roughly 78,000–80,000 and a record 34 candidates on the ballot.** By-elections in summer months typically see depressed participation, and trader consensus centers on 20k–30k votes (around 25–38% turnout) because the contest is widely viewed as a low-stakes formality with limited opposition from major parties. Recent polling reinforces expectations of subdued engagement, while the lengthy ballot and holiday timing further dampen mobilization. Higher bands above 40k remain discounted absent any late surge in voter interest, and the sub-10k outcome is considered remote given baseline by-election patterns in comparable seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว20k-30k 67%
30k-40k 13%
10k-20k 12.2%
60k+ 3.1%
$33,116 ปริมาณ
$33,116 ปริมาณ
Aug 13, 2026
<10k
<1%
10k-20k
12%
20k-30k
67%
30k-40k
13%
40k-50k
3%
50k-60k
1%
60k+
3%
20k-30k 67%
30k-40k 13%
10k-20k 12.2%
60k+ 3.1%
$33,116 ปริมาณ
$33,116 ปริมาณ
Aug 13, 2026
<10k
$1,077 ปริมาณ
<1%
10k-20k
$12,191 ปริมาณ
12%
20k-30k
$5,300 ปริมาณ
67%
30k-40k
$8,376 ปริมาณ
13%
40k-50k
$4,232 ปริมาณ
3%
50k-60k
$895 ปริมาณ
1%
60k+
$1,044 ปริมาณ
3%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).**The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026, called after Nigel Farage’s resignation to re-contest the seat, features an electorate of roughly 78,000–80,000 and a record 34 candidates on the ballot.**
By-elections in summer months typically see depressed participation, and trader consensus centers on 20k–30k votes (around 25–38% turnout) because the contest is widely viewed as a low-stakes formality with limited opposition from major parties. Recent polling reinforces expectations of subdued engagement, while the lengthy ballot and holiday timing further dampen mobilization. Higher bands above 40k remain discounted absent any late surge in voter interest, and the sub-10k outcome is considered remote given baseline by-election patterns in comparable seats.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,116วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).**The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026, called after Nigel Farage’s resignation to re-contest the seat, features an electorate of roughly 78,000–80,000 and a record 34 candidates on the ballot.**
By-elections in summer months typically see depressed participation, and trader consensus centers on 20k–30k votes (around 25–38% turnout) because the contest is widely viewed as a low-stakes formality with limited opposition from major parties. Recent polling reinforces expectations of subdued engagement, while the lengthy ballot and holiday timing further dampen mobilization. Higher bands above 40k remain discounted absent any late surge in voter interest, and the sub-10k outcome is considered remote given baseline by-election patterns in comparable seats.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,116วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026, called after Nigel Farage’s resignation to re-contest the seat, features an electorate of roughly 78,000–80,000 and a record 34 candidates on the ballot.** By-elections in summer months typically see depressed participation, and trader consensus centers on 20k–30k votes (around 25–38% turnout) because the contest is widely viewed as a low-stakes formality with limited opposition from major parties. Recent polling reinforces expectations of subdued engagement, while the lengthy ballot and holiday timing further dampen mobilization. Higher bands above 40k remain discounted absent any late surge in voter interest, and the sub-10k outcome is considered remote given baseline by-election patterns in comparable seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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