Trader consensus favors Republicans at 64% in the MO-05 House race due to the 2025 Republican-led congressional redistricting, upheld by a state judge on March 12, 2026, which split Kansas City's Democratic core across districts and added GOP-leaning rural areas from western Missouri, shifting the district's partisan balance. Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver (D) filed for re-election in February, facing a crowded seven-candidate Republican primary including Taylor Burks, Rick Brattin, and Micah Beebe, with competitive GOP fundraising reported in April. Though some ratings like Cook Political remain Solid Democratic based on prior maps, others such as Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Safe Republican, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
38%
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
38%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 64% in the MO-05 House race due to the 2025 Republican-led congressional redistricting, upheld by a state judge on March 12, 2026, which split Kansas City's Democratic core across districts and added GOP-leaning rural areas from western Missouri, shifting the district's partisan balance. Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver (D) filed for re-election in February, facing a crowded seven-candidate Republican primary including Taylor Burks, Rick Brattin, and Micah Beebe, with competitive GOP fundraising reported in April. Though some ratings like Cook Political remain Solid Democratic based on prior maps, others such as Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Safe Republican, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election.
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