Redistricting has shifted Missouri’s 5th Congressional District from a long-standing Democratic stronghold to one with a clear Republican tilt by incorporating additional rural, conservative counties. The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the new boundaries in May 2026, solidifying the map ahead of the August 4 primaries. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces no primary opposition, while six Republicans are competing for the nomination. These changes have positioned the Republican nominee as the consensus favorite in the November general election, with traders assigning higher probability to a GOP victory based on the altered district composition and historical voting patterns in the added areas.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
59%
Democratic Party
30%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,756 ปริมาณ
59%
Democratic Party
$1,171 ปริมาณ
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Missouri’s 5th Congressional District from a long-standing Democratic stronghold to one with a clear Republican tilt by incorporating additional rural, conservative counties. The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the new boundaries in May 2026, solidifying the map ahead of the August 4 primaries. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces no primary opposition, while six Republicans are competing for the nomination. These changes have positioned the Republican nominee as the consensus favorite in the November general election, with traders assigning higher probability to a GOP victory based on the altered district composition and historical voting patterns in the added areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,928วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Missouri’s 5th Congressional District from a long-standing Democratic stronghold to one with a clear Republican tilt by incorporating additional rural, conservative counties. The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the new boundaries in May 2026, solidifying the map ahead of the August 4 primaries. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces no primary opposition, while six Republicans are competing for the nomination. These changes have positioned the Republican nominee as the consensus favorite in the November general election, with traders assigning higher probability to a GOP victory based on the altered district composition and historical voting patterns in the added areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,928วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has shifted Missouri’s 5th Congressional District from a long-standing Democratic stronghold to one with a clear Republican tilt by incorporating additional rural, conservative counties. The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the new boundaries in May 2026, solidifying the map ahead of the August 4 primaries. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces no primary opposition, while six Republicans are competing for the nomination. These changes have positioned the Republican nominee as the consensus favorite in the November general election, with traders assigning higher probability to a GOP victory based on the altered district composition and historical voting patterns in the added areas.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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