Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 61% implied probability to win Missouri's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by late March 2026 court rulings—including Missouri Supreme Court affirmation on March 24 and a subsequent judge's decision on March 27—upholding the GOP-enacted redistricting map that dilutes Kansas City's Democratic voter base by splitting it across districts while extending MO-05 into rural Republican-leaning areas. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver filed for re-election on February 24 amid primary challengers, facing a crowded Republican primary on August 4 featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin, recently endorsed by Club for Growth on April 2. Absent polls, traders weigh the map's partisan shift against Cleaver's incumbency in this transformed battleground.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,001 ปริมาณ
61%
Democratic Party
$406 ปริมาณ
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 61% implied probability to win Missouri's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by late March 2026 court rulings—including Missouri Supreme Court affirmation on March 24 and a subsequent judge's decision on March 27—upholding the GOP-enacted redistricting map that dilutes Kansas City's Democratic voter base by splitting it across districts while extending MO-05 into rural Republican-leaning areas. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver filed for re-election on February 24 amid primary challengers, facing a crowded Republican primary on August 4 featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin, recently endorsed by Club for Growth on April 2. Absent polls, traders weigh the map's partisan shift against Cleaver's incumbency in this transformed battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,406วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 61% implied probability to win Missouri's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by late March 2026 court rulings—including Missouri Supreme Court affirmation on March 24 and a subsequent judge's decision on March 27—upholding the GOP-enacted redistricting map that dilutes Kansas City's Democratic voter base by splitting it across districts while extending MO-05 into rural Republican-leaning areas. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver filed for re-election on February 24 amid primary challengers, facing a crowded Republican primary on August 4 featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin, recently endorsed by Club for Growth on April 2. Absent polls, traders weigh the map's partisan shift against Cleaver's incumbency in this transformed battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,406วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 61% implied probability to win Missouri's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by late March 2026 court rulings—including Missouri Supreme Court affirmation on March 24 and a subsequent judge's decision on March 27—upholding the GOP-enacted redistricting map that dilutes Kansas City's Democratic voter base by splitting it across districts while extending MO-05 into rural Republican-leaning areas. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver filed for re-election on February 24 amid primary challengers, facing a crowded Republican primary on August 4 featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin, recently endorsed by Club for Growth on April 2. Absent polls, traders weigh the map's partisan shift against Cleaver's incumbency in this transformed battleground.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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