Michigan's 7th congressional district stands out as one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 midterms, with the seat held by freshman Republican incumbent Tom Barrett following his narrow 2024 victory. Traders assign Democrats an 81.5 percent implied probability of winning the general election on November 3, reflecting the district's even partisan voter index, recent history of flipping between parties, and active Democratic recruitment of high-profile primary candidates including former ambassador Bridget Brink and former Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam ahead of the August 4 primaries. Republican positioning remains competitive due to Barrett's incumbency and fundraising, yet the market pricing incorporates broader midterm dynamics favoring challengers in toss-up seats rated as such by the Cook Political Report. Late developments in candidate consolidation or national political trends could still shift assessments before the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
82%
Republican Party
17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,494 ปริมาณ
82%
Republican Party
$1,912 ปริมาณ
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district stands out as one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 midterms, with the seat held by freshman Republican incumbent Tom Barrett following his narrow 2024 victory. Traders assign Democrats an 81.5 percent implied probability of winning the general election on November 3, reflecting the district's even partisan voter index, recent history of flipping between parties, and active Democratic recruitment of high-profile primary candidates including former ambassador Bridget Brink and former Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam ahead of the August 4 primaries. Republican positioning remains competitive due to Barrett's incumbency and fundraising, yet the market pricing incorporates broader midterm dynamics favoring challengers in toss-up seats rated as such by the Cook Political Report. Late developments in candidate consolidation or national political trends could still shift assessments before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,406วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district stands out as one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 midterms, with the seat held by freshman Republican incumbent Tom Barrett following his narrow 2024 victory. Traders assign Democrats an 81.5 percent implied probability of winning the general election on November 3, reflecting the district's even partisan voter index, recent history of flipping between parties, and active Democratic recruitment of high-profile primary candidates including former ambassador Bridget Brink and former Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam ahead of the August 4 primaries. Republican positioning remains competitive due to Barrett's incumbency and fundraising, yet the market pricing incorporates broader midterm dynamics favoring challengers in toss-up seats rated as such by the Cook Political Report. Late developments in candidate consolidation or national political trends could still shift assessments before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,406วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district stands out as one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 midterms, with the seat held by freshman Republican incumbent Tom Barrett following his narrow 2024 victory. Traders assign Democrats an 81.5 percent implied probability of winning the general election on November 3, reflecting the district's even partisan voter index, recent history of flipping between parties, and active Democratic recruitment of high-profile primary candidates including former ambassador Bridget Brink and former Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam ahead of the August 4 primaries. Republican positioning remains competitive due to Barrett's incumbency and fundraising, yet the market pricing incorporates broader midterm dynamics favoring challengers in toss-up seats rated as such by the Cook Political Report. Late developments in candidate consolidation or national political trends could still shift assessments before the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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