Incumbent Rep. Tom Cole's (R) dominant position in Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+17 partisan voter index, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party. Cole, who secured 65% in the 2024 general election, announced his reelection bid on April 1 and boasts $2.8 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Mitchell Jacob ($4,000) and Jeff Pixley ($32,000). The April 3 filing deadline revealed no formidable challengers, with only Marcie Everhart (R) in the GOP primary and Rocco Bonacci (I) for November. June 16 primaries loom, but a Cole primary upset, personal scandal, or unprecedented national Democratic surge would be needed to shift odds meaningfully.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOK-04 House Election Winner
OK-04 House Election Winner
$20,113 ปริมาณ
$20,113 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
6%
$20,113 ปริมาณ
$20,113 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$12,764 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$7,349 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Tom Cole's (R) dominant position in Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+17 partisan voter index, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party. Cole, who secured 65% in the 2024 general election, announced his reelection bid on April 1 and boasts $2.8 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Mitchell Jacob ($4,000) and Jeff Pixley ($32,000). The April 3 filing deadline revealed no formidable challengers, with only Marcie Everhart (R) in the GOP primary and Rocco Bonacci (I) for November. June 16 primaries loom, but a Cole primary upset, personal scandal, or unprecedented national Democratic surge would be needed to shift odds meaningfully.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,113วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Tom Cole's (R) dominant position in Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+17 partisan voter index, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party. Cole, who secured 65% in the 2024 general election, announced his reelection bid on April 1 and boasts $2.8 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Mitchell Jacob ($4,000) and Jeff Pixley ($32,000). The April 3 filing deadline revealed no formidable challengers, with only Marcie Everhart (R) in the GOP primary and Rocco Bonacci (I) for November. June 16 primaries loom, but a Cole primary upset, personal scandal, or unprecedented national Democratic surge would be needed to shift odds meaningfully.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,113วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Tom Cole's (R) dominant position in Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+17 partisan voter index, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party. Cole, who secured 65% in the 2024 general election, announced his reelection bid on April 1 and boasts $2.8 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Mitchell Jacob ($4,000) and Jeff Pixley ($32,000). The April 3 filing deadline revealed no formidable challengers, with only Marcie Everhart (R) in the GOP primary and Rocco Bonacci (I) for November. June 16 primaries loom, but a Cole primary upset, personal scandal, or unprecedented national Democratic surge would be needed to shift odds meaningfully.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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