Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings from nonpartisan forecasters as solid or safe Republican. Incumbent Tom Cole, first elected in 2002 and currently chair of the House Appropriations Committee, holds a substantial fundraising lead and faces only a primary challenge ahead of the June 16, 2026, nominating contests. Democratic primary contenders remain underfunded relative to the Republican field. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability of victory in November, consistent with historical results in this district and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive general election. A major national partisan shift or an unanticipated primary upset could still alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOK-04 House Election Winner
OK-04 House Election Winner
$22,244 ปริมาณ
$22,244 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
16%
$22,244 ปริมาณ
$22,244 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$14,218 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$8,026 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings from nonpartisan forecasters as solid or safe Republican. Incumbent Tom Cole, first elected in 2002 and currently chair of the House Appropriations Committee, holds a substantial fundraising lead and faces only a primary challenge ahead of the June 16, 2026, nominating contests. Democratic primary contenders remain underfunded relative to the Republican field. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability of victory in November, consistent with historical results in this district and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive general election. A major national partisan shift or an unanticipated primary upset could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,244วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings from nonpartisan forecasters as solid or safe Republican. Incumbent Tom Cole, first elected in 2002 and currently chair of the House Appropriations Committee, holds a substantial fundraising lead and faces only a primary challenge ahead of the June 16, 2026, nominating contests. Democratic primary contenders remain underfunded relative to the Republican field. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability of victory in November, consistent with historical results in this district and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive general election. A major national partisan shift or an unanticipated primary upset could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,244วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings from nonpartisan forecasters as solid or safe Republican. Incumbent Tom Cole, first elected in 2002 and currently chair of the House Appropriations Committee, holds a substantial fundraising lead and faces only a primary challenge ahead of the June 16, 2026, nominating contests. Democratic primary contenders remain underfunded relative to the Republican field. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability of victory in November, consistent with historical results in this district and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive general election. A major national partisan shift or an unanticipated primary upset could still alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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