The Illinois 7th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Chicago and western suburban voter base, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Danny Davis’s retirement opened the seat, leading to a March 2026 Democratic primary won by state Representative La Shawn Ford over a crowded field that included Melissa Conyears-Ervin. Ford now faces Republican Chad Koppie, who prevailed in his party’s low-turnout primary, in the November general election. Historical election margins and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure in the district sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged since the primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-07 House Election Winner
IL-07 House Election Winner
$18,966 ปริมาณ
$18,966 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
1%
$18,966 ปริมาณ
$18,966 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,448 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$13,517 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 7th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Chicago and western suburban voter base, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Danny Davis’s retirement opened the seat, leading to a March 2026 Democratic primary won by state Representative La Shawn Ford over a crowded field that included Melissa Conyears-Ervin. Ford now faces Republican Chad Koppie, who prevailed in his party’s low-turnout primary, in the November general election. Historical election margins and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure in the district sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,966วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 7th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Chicago and western suburban voter base, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Danny Davis’s retirement opened the seat, leading to a March 2026 Democratic primary won by state Representative La Shawn Ford over a crowded field that included Melissa Conyears-Ervin. Ford now faces Republican Chad Koppie, who prevailed in his party’s low-turnout primary, in the November general election. Historical election margins and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure in the district sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,966วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 7th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Chicago and western suburban voter base, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Danny Davis’s retirement opened the seat, leading to a March 2026 Democratic primary won by state Representative La Shawn Ford over a crowded field that included Melissa Conyears-Ervin. Ford now faces Republican Chad Koppie, who prevailed in his party’s low-turnout primary, in the November general election. Historical election margins and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure in the district sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged since the primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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