Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern faces limited opposition in Massachusetts’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with the primary scheduled for September 1. The district’s consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its partisan lean, and McGovern’s long tenure since 2013 underpin the market’s strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Recent filings show McGovern seeking re-election while Republican challenger Tracy Lovvorn has announced another bid after prior attempts. The wide implied probability gap aligns with historical margins in this safely Democratic seat. Shifts could occur only through an unexpected primary challenge, a significant late development such as a health issue or scandal affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment that alters turnout dynamics before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$30,112 ปริมาณ
$30,112 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$30,112 ปริมาณ
$30,112 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,341 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$9,771 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern faces limited opposition in Massachusetts’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with the primary scheduled for September 1. The district’s consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its partisan lean, and McGovern’s long tenure since 2013 underpin the market’s strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Recent filings show McGovern seeking re-election while Republican challenger Tracy Lovvorn has announced another bid after prior attempts. The wide implied probability gap aligns with historical margins in this safely Democratic seat. Shifts could occur only through an unexpected primary challenge, a significant late development such as a health issue or scandal affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment that alters turnout dynamics before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,112วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern faces limited opposition in Massachusetts’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with the primary scheduled for September 1. The district’s consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its partisan lean, and McGovern’s long tenure since 2013 underpin the market’s strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Recent filings show McGovern seeking re-election while Republican challenger Tracy Lovvorn has announced another bid after prior attempts. The wide implied probability gap aligns with historical margins in this safely Democratic seat. Shifts could occur only through an unexpected primary challenge, a significant late development such as a health issue or scandal affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment that alters turnout dynamics before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,112วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern faces limited opposition in Massachusetts’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with the primary scheduled for September 1. The district’s consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its partisan lean, and McGovern’s long tenure since 2013 underpin the market’s strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Recent filings show McGovern seeking re-election while Republican challenger Tracy Lovvorn has announced another bid after prior attempts. The wide implied probability gap aligns with historical margins in this safely Democratic seat. Shifts could occur only through an unexpected primary challenge, a significant late development such as a health issue or scandal affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment that alters turnout dynamics before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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