The district's Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91%. Incumbent Mark Takano, first elected in 2012, secured 56.7% in the prior general election against a Republican challenger, benefiting from name recognition and fundraising advantages typical in such seats. The June 2 primary features Takano facing limited Republican opposition from Steve Manos, with general election dynamics unlikely to shift absent a major national realignment or unforeseen candidate withdrawal. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout in a midterm environment or redistricting changes, though structural factors make substantial movement improbable before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-39 House Election Winner
CA-39 House Election Winner
$34,510 ปริมาณ
$34,510 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
7%
$34,510 ปริมาณ
$34,510 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$26,631 ปริมาณ
91%
Republican Party
$7,879 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91%. Incumbent Mark Takano, first elected in 2012, secured 56.7% in the prior general election against a Republican challenger, benefiting from name recognition and fundraising advantages typical in such seats. The June 2 primary features Takano facing limited Republican opposition from Steve Manos, with general election dynamics unlikely to shift absent a major national realignment or unforeseen candidate withdrawal. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout in a midterm environment or redistricting changes, though structural factors make substantial movement improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,510วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91%. Incumbent Mark Takano, first elected in 2012, secured 56.7% in the prior general election against a Republican challenger, benefiting from name recognition and fundraising advantages typical in such seats. The June 2 primary features Takano facing limited Republican opposition from Steve Manos, with general election dynamics unlikely to shift absent a major national realignment or unforeseen candidate withdrawal. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout in a midterm environment or redistricting changes, though structural factors make substantial movement improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,510วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91%. Incumbent Mark Takano, first elected in 2012, secured 56.7% in the prior general election against a Republican challenger, benefiting from name recognition and fundraising advantages typical in such seats. The June 2 primary features Takano facing limited Republican opposition from Steve Manos, with general election dynamics unlikely to shift absent a major national realignment or unforeseen candidate withdrawal. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout in a midterm environment or redistricting changes, though structural factors make substantial movement improbable before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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