Incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu's commanding position in California's 36th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic (Cook PVI D+21), drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic winner ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Lieu, who secured 68.7% in 2024 and holds over $1 million in campaign cash—dwarfing challengers—faces minimal threats in this coastal Los Angeles-area seat with heavy Democratic voter registration and Harris winning 68% there in 2024. Weak Republican fields, including 2024 loser Melissa Toomim, reinforce the lopsided odds despite minor boundary tweaks from 2025's Proposition 50 redistricting. Realistic challenges include a primary upset sidelining Lieu, personal scandal, health issues, or an extraordinary national Republican wave, though no recent developments signal such shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,379 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$1,324 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu's commanding position in California's 36th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic (Cook PVI D+21), drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic winner ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Lieu, who secured 68.7% in 2024 and holds over $1 million in campaign cash—dwarfing challengers—faces minimal threats in this coastal Los Angeles-area seat with heavy Democratic voter registration and Harris winning 68% there in 2024. Weak Republican fields, including 2024 loser Melissa Toomim, reinforce the lopsided odds despite minor boundary tweaks from 2025's Proposition 50 redistricting. Realistic challenges include a primary upset sidelining Lieu, personal scandal, health issues, or an extraordinary national Republican wave, though no recent developments signal such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,704วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu's commanding position in California's 36th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic (Cook PVI D+21), drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic winner ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Lieu, who secured 68.7% in 2024 and holds over $1 million in campaign cash—dwarfing challengers—faces minimal threats in this coastal Los Angeles-area seat with heavy Democratic voter registration and Harris winning 68% there in 2024. Weak Republican fields, including 2024 loser Melissa Toomim, reinforce the lopsided odds despite minor boundary tweaks from 2025's Proposition 50 redistricting. Realistic challenges include a primary upset sidelining Lieu, personal scandal, health issues, or an extraordinary national Republican wave, though no recent developments signal such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,704วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu's commanding position in California's 36th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic (Cook PVI D+21), drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic winner ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Lieu, who secured 68.7% in 2024 and holds over $1 million in campaign cash—dwarfing challengers—faces minimal threats in this coastal Los Angeles-area seat with heavy Democratic voter registration and Harris winning 68% there in 2024. Weak Republican fields, including 2024 loser Melissa Toomim, reinforce the lopsided odds despite minor boundary tweaks from 2025's Proposition 50 redistricting. Realistic challenges include a primary upset sidelining Lieu, personal scandal, health issues, or an extraordinary national Republican wave, though no recent developments signal such shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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