The heavily Democratic composition of California's 12th congressional district, combined with June 2 primary results that advanced two Democratic candidates to the November general election, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured the top spot in the top-two primary over challenger Jamie Joyce, while Republican participation remained negligible. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive opposition. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented upset or major unforeseen development, such as a candidate withdrawal or significant shift in voter turnout dynamics before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-12 House Election Winner
CA-12 House Election Winner
$40,929 ปริมาณ
$40,929 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$40,929 ปริมาณ
$40,929 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$24,042 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$16,887 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of California's 12th congressional district, combined with June 2 primary results that advanced two Democratic candidates to the November general election, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured the top spot in the top-two primary over challenger Jamie Joyce, while Republican participation remained negligible. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive opposition. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented upset or major unforeseen development, such as a candidate withdrawal or significant shift in voter turnout dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,929วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of California's 12th congressional district, combined with June 2 primary results that advanced two Democratic candidates to the November general election, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured the top spot in the top-two primary over challenger Jamie Joyce, while Republican participation remained negligible. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive opposition. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented upset or major unforeseen development, such as a candidate withdrawal or significant shift in voter turnout dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,929วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of California's 12th congressional district, combined with June 2 primary results that advanced two Democratic candidates to the November general election, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured the top spot in the top-two primary over challenger Jamie Joyce, while Republican participation remained negligible. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive opposition. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented upset or major unforeseen development, such as a candidate withdrawal or significant shift in voter turnout dynamics before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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