The Southern Tier district's R+10 partisan voter index and 21-point Trump margin in 2024 underpin the strong Republican positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Nick Langworthy, first elected in 2022 and seeking re-election, faces no significant primary opposition on June 23 and benefits from established name recognition in a reliably conservative area. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic recruitment and the structural headwinds for challengers in such districts. Trader consensus at 80.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals, while the 15.5% Democratic share accounts for the possibility of national midterm shifts or unexpected turnout changes closer to election day. No major recent developments have altered the baseline outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-23 House Election Winner
NY-23 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,619 ปริมาณ
81%
Democratic Party
$2,239 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Southern Tier district's R+10 partisan voter index and 21-point Trump margin in 2024 underpin the strong Republican positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Nick Langworthy, first elected in 2022 and seeking re-election, faces no significant primary opposition on June 23 and benefits from established name recognition in a reliably conservative area. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic recruitment and the structural headwinds for challengers in such districts. Trader consensus at 80.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals, while the 15.5% Democratic share accounts for the possibility of national midterm shifts or unexpected turnout changes closer to election day. No major recent developments have altered the baseline outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,859วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Southern Tier district's R+10 partisan voter index and 21-point Trump margin in 2024 underpin the strong Republican positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Nick Langworthy, first elected in 2022 and seeking re-election, faces no significant primary opposition on June 23 and benefits from established name recognition in a reliably conservative area. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic recruitment and the structural headwinds for challengers in such districts. Trader consensus at 80.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals, while the 15.5% Democratic share accounts for the possibility of national midterm shifts or unexpected turnout changes closer to election day. No major recent developments have altered the baseline outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,859วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Southern Tier district's R+10 partisan voter index and 21-point Trump margin in 2024 underpin the strong Republican positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Nick Langworthy, first elected in 2022 and seeking re-election, faces no significant primary opposition on June 23 and benefits from established name recognition in a reliably conservative area. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic recruitment and the structural headwinds for challengers in such districts. Trader consensus at 80.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals, while the 15.5% Democratic share accounts for the possibility of national midterm shifts or unexpected turnout changes closer to election day. No major recent developments have altered the baseline outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย