Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the area’s consistent Republican tilt and his established fundraising and name recognition. With primaries set for June 23, LaLota faces no significant intra-party challenge while Democrats field multiple candidates in an open primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the 2024 result where LaLota won by more than five points. Trader consensus on prediction markets assigns the Republican Party a 61 percent implied probability of holding the seat, underscoring the structural barriers any Democratic nominee would need to overcome in this Long Island district. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$20,232 ปริมาณ
$20,232 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
51%
Democratic Party
29%
$20,232 ปริมาณ
$20,232 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,326 ปริมาณ
51%
Democratic Party
$13,906 ปริมาณ
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the area’s consistent Republican tilt and his established fundraising and name recognition. With primaries set for June 23, LaLota faces no significant intra-party challenge while Democrats field multiple candidates in an open primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the 2024 result where LaLota won by more than five points. Trader consensus on prediction markets assigns the Republican Party a 61 percent implied probability of holding the seat, underscoring the structural barriers any Democratic nominee would need to overcome in this Long Island district. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,232วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the area’s consistent Republican tilt and his established fundraising and name recognition. With primaries set for June 23, LaLota faces no significant intra-party challenge while Democrats field multiple candidates in an open primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the 2024 result where LaLota won by more than five points. Trader consensus on prediction markets assigns the Republican Party a 61 percent implied probability of holding the seat, underscoring the structural barriers any Democratic nominee would need to overcome in this Long Island district. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,232วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the area’s consistent Republican tilt and his established fundraising and name recognition. With primaries set for June 23, LaLota faces no significant intra-party challenge while Democrats field multiple candidates in an open primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the 2024 result where LaLota won by more than five points. Trader consensus on prediction markets assigns the Republican Party a 61 percent implied probability of holding the seat, underscoring the structural barriers any Democratic nominee would need to overcome in this Long Island district. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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