The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 local elections with overwhelming trader consensus at near-certainty due to President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings above 60 percent and the party’s structural advantages after securing both the presidency and National Assembly. Polls and early projections indicate the DP is positioned to capture the large majority of metropolitan mayor and provincial governor posts, consistent with historical patterns where the president’s party performs strongly in midterm-style local contests. The current leading outcome is "12" at 99.3 percent. This commanding position reflects exit polls and early vote counts showing DP victories in 12 of 16 races, driven by the ruling party’s momentum following the prior administration’s controversies. Scenarios that could realistically challenge a 12-win outcome include unexpected swings in closely contested regions such as Busan or shifts in final tallies from remaining precincts, though current data indicate these remain low-probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
How many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
12 99.5%
≤10 1.0%
11 <1%
13 <1%
$61,717 Vol.
$61,717 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
≤10
No
11
No
12
Yes
13
No
14
No
15
No
≥16
No
12 99.5%
≤10 1.0%
11 <1%
13 <1%
$61,717 Vol.
$61,717 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
≤10
$23,951 Vol.
No
11
$6,122 Vol.
No
12
$5,445 Vol.
Yes
13
$7,957 Vol.
No
14
$7,911 Vol.
No
15
$7,060 Vol.
No
≥16
$3,269 Vol.
No
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 local elections with overwhelming trader consensus at near-certainty due to President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings above 60 percent and the party’s structural advantages after securing both the presidency and National Assembly. Polls and early projections indicate the DP is positioned to capture the large majority of metropolitan mayor and provincial governor posts, consistent with historical patterns where the president’s party performs strongly in midterm-style local contests. The current leading outcome is "12" at 99.3 percent. This commanding position reflects exit polls and early vote counts showing DP victories in 12 of 16 races, driven by the ruling party’s momentum following the prior administration’s controversies. Scenarios that could realistically challenge a 12-win outcome include unexpected swings in closely contested regions such as Busan or shifts in final tallies from remaining precincts, though current data indicate these remain low-probability.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Volume
$61,717End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 local elections with overwhelming trader consensus at near-certainty due to President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings above 60 percent and the party’s structural advantages after securing both the presidency and National Assembly. Polls and early projections indicate the DP is positioned to capture the large majority of metropolitan mayor and provincial governor posts, consistent with historical patterns where the president’s party performs strongly in midterm-style local contests. The current leading outcome is "12" at 99.3 percent. This commanding position reflects exit polls and early vote counts showing DP victories in 12 of 16 races, driven by the ruling party’s momentum following the prior administration’s controversies. Scenarios that could realistically challenge a 12-win outcome include unexpected swings in closely contested regions such as Busan or shifts in final tallies from remaining precincts, though current data indicate these remain low-probability.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volume
$61,717End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 local elections with overwhelming trader consensus at near-certainty due to President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings above 60 percent and the party’s structural advantages after securing both the presidency and National Assembly. Polls and early projections indicate the DP is positioned to capture the large majority of metropolitan mayor and provincial governor posts, consistent with historical patterns where the president’s party performs strongly in midterm-style local contests. The current leading outcome is "12" at 99.3 percent. This commanding position reflects exit polls and early vote counts showing DP victories in 12 of 16 races, driven by the ruling party’s momentum following the prior administration’s controversies. Scenarios that could realistically challenge a 12-win outcome include unexpected swings in closely contested regions such as Busan or shifts in final tallies from remaining precincts, though current data indicate these remain low-probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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