Bob Brooks holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district because his decisive May primary win, backed by Governor Josh Shapiro and major labor unions including the International Association of Fire Fighters, positioned him as the clearest Democratic challenger in a seat that remains one of the nation’s most competitive battlegrounds. The district’s near-even partisan split and narrow 2024 Republican margin have drawn heavy national spending from both parties, with Democrats viewing the race as a prime opportunity to flip the seat and influence House control. Recent developments, including Brooks’ September settlement of a family lawsuit and ongoing ad exchanges over campaign finance and personal finances, have removed lingering vulnerabilities without shifting the underlying fundamentals. With the November 3 general election weeks away, these factors sustain the implied probability edge for the Democratic nominee over incumbent Ryan Mackenzie.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$32,060 Vol.
$32,060 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Bob Brooks (D)
80%
Ryan Mackenzie (R)
21%
$32,060 Vol.
$32,060 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Bob Brooks (D)
$24,625 Vol.
80%
Ryan Mackenzie (R)
$7,435 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Brooks holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district because his decisive May primary win, backed by Governor Josh Shapiro and major labor unions including the International Association of Fire Fighters, positioned him as the clearest Democratic challenger in a seat that remains one of the nation’s most competitive battlegrounds. The district’s near-even partisan split and narrow 2024 Republican margin have drawn heavy national spending from both parties, with Democrats viewing the race as a prime opportunity to flip the seat and influence House control. Recent developments, including Brooks’ September settlement of a family lawsuit and ongoing ad exchanges over campaign finance and personal finances, have removed lingering vulnerabilities without shifting the underlying fundamentals. With the November 3 general election weeks away, these factors sustain the implied probability edge for the Democratic nominee over incumbent Ryan Mackenzie.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$32,060End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Brooks holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district because his decisive May primary win, backed by Governor Josh Shapiro and major labor unions including the International Association of Fire Fighters, positioned him as the clearest Democratic challenger in a seat that remains one of the nation’s most competitive battlegrounds. The district’s near-even partisan split and narrow 2024 Republican margin have drawn heavy national spending from both parties, with Democrats viewing the race as a prime opportunity to flip the seat and influence House control. Recent developments, including Brooks’ September settlement of a family lawsuit and ongoing ad exchanges over campaign finance and personal finances, have removed lingering vulnerabilities without shifting the underlying fundamentals. With the November 3 general election weeks away, these factors sustain the implied probability edge for the Democratic nominee over incumbent Ryan Mackenzie.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,060End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Bob Brooks holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district because his decisive May primary win, backed by Governor Josh Shapiro and major labor unions including the International Association of Fire Fighters, positioned him as the clearest Democratic challenger in a seat that remains one of the nation’s most competitive battlegrounds. The district’s near-even partisan split and narrow 2024 Republican margin have drawn heavy national spending from both parties, with Democrats viewing the race as a prime opportunity to flip the seat and influence House control. Recent developments, including Brooks’ September settlement of a family lawsuit and ongoing ad exchanges over campaign finance and personal finances, have removed lingering vulnerabilities without shifting the underlying fundamentals. With the November 3 general election weeks away, these factors sustain the implied probability edge for the Democratic nominee over incumbent Ryan Mackenzie.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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