New Jersey's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races heading into the 2026 midterms, with its narrow partisan balance and history of close contests keeping the general election outcome in doubt. Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. benefits from name recognition and prior victories in a district that shifted toward Republicans after redistricting, yet Democratic contenders including Rebecca Bennett have secured key county endorsements and fundraising edges ahead of the June 2 primary. Recent internal polling and race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting national midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns that could favor either party. Trader sentiment stays closely matched because any strong Democratic nominee could capitalize on the district's suburban voters and historical swing tendencies, while late primary developments or national economic signals may widen the gap before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNJ-07 House Election Winner
NJ-07 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
41%
Democratic Party
54%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$3,727 Vol.
41%
Democratic Party
$241 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races heading into the 2026 midterms, with its narrow partisan balance and history of close contests keeping the general election outcome in doubt. Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. benefits from name recognition and prior victories in a district that shifted toward Republicans after redistricting, yet Democratic contenders including Rebecca Bennett have secured key county endorsements and fundraising edges ahead of the June 2 primary. Recent internal polling and race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting national midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns that could favor either party. Trader sentiment stays closely matched because any strong Democratic nominee could capitalize on the district's suburban voters and historical swing tendencies, while late primary developments or national economic signals may widen the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$3,968End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races heading into the 2026 midterms, with its narrow partisan balance and history of close contests keeping the general election outcome in doubt. Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. benefits from name recognition and prior victories in a district that shifted toward Republicans after redistricting, yet Democratic contenders including Rebecca Bennett have secured key county endorsements and fundraising edges ahead of the June 2 primary. Recent internal polling and race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting national midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns that could favor either party. Trader sentiment stays closely matched because any strong Democratic nominee could capitalize on the district's suburban voters and historical swing tendencies, while late primary developments or national economic signals may widen the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,968End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races heading into the 2026 midterms, with its narrow partisan balance and history of close contests keeping the general election outcome in doubt. Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. benefits from name recognition and prior victories in a district that shifted toward Republicans after redistricting, yet Democratic contenders including Rebecca Bennett have secured key county endorsements and fundraising edges ahead of the June 2 primary. Recent internal polling and race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting national midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns that could favor either party. Trader sentiment stays closely matched because any strong Democratic nominee could capitalize on the district's suburban voters and historical swing tendencies, while late primary developments or national economic signals may widen the gap before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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