Recent polling and candidate favorability trends have positioned Rebecca Bennett with a consistent edge in New Jersey’s 7th District, where multiple surveys show her leading incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. by 3 to 5 points among likely voters. Kean’s extended absence from Congress earlier in 2026 due to health issues contributed to elevated unfavorable ratings and questions about his engagement, while Bennett, a Navy veteran who secured the Democratic nomination in June, benefits from stronger voter enthusiasm on her side. Race ratings from outlets such as Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s competitive history and midterm dynamics. Traders appear to weigh these factors, along with Bennett’s fundraising and union endorsements, as tilting the outcome toward the Democratic challenger ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$22,153 Vol.
$22,153 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Rebecca Bennett (D)
84%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
18%
$22,153 Vol.
$22,153 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Rebecca Bennett (D)
$6,544 Vol.
84%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
$15,610 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling and candidate favorability trends have positioned Rebecca Bennett with a consistent edge in New Jersey’s 7th District, where multiple surveys show her leading incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. by 3 to 5 points among likely voters. Kean’s extended absence from Congress earlier in 2026 due to health issues contributed to elevated unfavorable ratings and questions about his engagement, while Bennett, a Navy veteran who secured the Democratic nomination in June, benefits from stronger voter enthusiasm on her side. Race ratings from outlets such as Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s competitive history and midterm dynamics. Traders appear to weigh these factors, along with Bennett’s fundraising and union endorsements, as tilting the outcome toward the Democratic challenger ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$22,153End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling and candidate favorability trends have positioned Rebecca Bennett with a consistent edge in New Jersey’s 7th District, where multiple surveys show her leading incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. by 3 to 5 points among likely voters. Kean’s extended absence from Congress earlier in 2026 due to health issues contributed to elevated unfavorable ratings and questions about his engagement, while Bennett, a Navy veteran who secured the Democratic nomination in June, benefits from stronger voter enthusiasm on her side. Race ratings from outlets such as Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s competitive history and midterm dynamics. Traders appear to weigh these factors, along with Bennett’s fundraising and union endorsements, as tilting the outcome toward the Democratic challenger ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,153End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling and candidate favorability trends have positioned Rebecca Bennett with a consistent edge in New Jersey’s 7th District, where multiple surveys show her leading incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. by 3 to 5 points among likely voters. Kean’s extended absence from Congress earlier in 2026 due to health issues contributed to elevated unfavorable ratings and questions about his engagement, while Bennett, a Navy veteran who secured the Democratic nomination in June, benefits from stronger voter enthusiasm on her side. Race ratings from outlets such as Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s competitive history and midterm dynamics. Traders appear to weigh these factors, along with Bennett’s fundraising and union endorsements, as tilting the outcome toward the Democratic challenger ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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