Rebecca Bennett leads the NJ-07 House race in trader consensus due to incumbent Tom Kean Jr.’s prolonged absence from Congress amid health challenges, which produced sharply negative favorability ratings and limited campaign visibility through mid-2026. Bennett, a Navy veteran who secured the Democratic nomination in June, has benefited from strong grassroots fundraising, a recent firefighters union endorsement flip, and polling that shows her holding a narrow edge or tie among likely voters. Kean’s return to the House in late June and outside support have narrowed the gap in some surveys but have not reversed perceptions of the seat as leaning Democratic in a competitive midterm environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$22,163 Vol.
$22,163 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Rebecca Bennett (D)
84%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
18%
$22,163 Vol.
$22,163 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Rebecca Bennett (D)
$6,554 Vol.
84%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
$15,610 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett leads the NJ-07 House race in trader consensus due to incumbent Tom Kean Jr.’s prolonged absence from Congress amid health challenges, which produced sharply negative favorability ratings and limited campaign visibility through mid-2026. Bennett, a Navy veteran who secured the Democratic nomination in June, has benefited from strong grassroots fundraising, a recent firefighters union endorsement flip, and polling that shows her holding a narrow edge or tie among likely voters. Kean’s return to the House in late June and outside support have narrowed the gap in some surveys but have not reversed perceptions of the seat as leaning Democratic in a competitive midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$22,163End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett leads the NJ-07 House race in trader consensus due to incumbent Tom Kean Jr.’s prolonged absence from Congress amid health challenges, which produced sharply negative favorability ratings and limited campaign visibility through mid-2026. Bennett, a Navy veteran who secured the Democratic nomination in June, has benefited from strong grassroots fundraising, a recent firefighters union endorsement flip, and polling that shows her holding a narrow edge or tie among likely voters. Kean’s return to the House in late June and outside support have narrowed the gap in some surveys but have not reversed perceptions of the seat as leaning Democratic in a competitive midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,163End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Rebecca Bennett leads the NJ-07 House race in trader consensus due to incumbent Tom Kean Jr.’s prolonged absence from Congress amid health challenges, which produced sharply negative favorability ratings and limited campaign visibility through mid-2026. Bennett, a Navy veteran who secured the Democratic nomination in June, has benefited from strong grassroots fundraising, a recent firefighters union endorsement flip, and polling that shows her holding a narrow edge or tie among likely voters. Kean’s return to the House in late June and outside support have narrowed the gap in some surveys but have not reversed perceptions of the seat as leaning Democratic in a competitive midterm environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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