Labour's commanding position in the 5-10% margin category stems from the May 30, 2026, snap parliamentary election results, in which the party secured 51.77% of valid votes against the Nationalist Party's 44.68%, producing an official 21,721-vote gap. Prime Minister Robert Abela's campaign emphasized economic performance, contributing to a fourth consecutive term despite a reduced share from 2022. The opposition conceded early, highlighting the narrowed but still decisive lead. Full official certification and any minor adjustments from remaining counts represent the primary remaining variables that could shift the precise percentage outcome within the projected band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLabour Party 5-10% 100.0%
Labour Party 25%+ <1%
Labour Party 20-25% <1%
Labour Party 15-20% <1%
$34,779 Vol.
$34,779 Vol.
May 30, 2026
Labour Party 25%+
No
Labour Party 20-25%
No
Labour Party 15-20%
No
Labour Party 10-15%
No
Labour Party 5-10%
Yes
Labour Party <5%
No
Other
No
Labour Party 5-10% 100.0%
Labour Party 25%+ <1%
Labour Party 20-25% <1%
Labour Party 15-20% <1%
$34,779 Vol.
$34,779 Vol.
May 30, 2026
Labour Party 25%+
$2,899 Vol.
No
Labour Party 20-25%
$3,772 Vol.
No
Labour Party 15-20%
$4,352 Vol.
No
Labour Party 10-15%
$5,551 Vol.
No
Labour Party 5-10%
$8,035 Vol.
Yes
Labour Party <5%
$5,582 Vol.
No
Other
$4,587 Vol.
No
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Labour's commanding position in the 5-10% margin category stems from the May 30, 2026, snap parliamentary election results, in which the party secured 51.77% of valid votes against the Nationalist Party's 44.68%, producing an official 21,721-vote gap. Prime Minister Robert Abela's campaign emphasized economic performance, contributing to a fourth consecutive term despite a reduced share from 2022. The opposition conceded early, highlighting the narrowed but still decisive lead. Full official certification and any minor adjustments from remaining counts represent the primary remaining variables that could shift the precise percentage outcome within the projected band.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Volume
$34,779End Date
May 30, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Labour's commanding position in the 5-10% margin category stems from the May 30, 2026, snap parliamentary election results, in which the party secured 51.77% of valid votes against the Nationalist Party's 44.68%, producing an official 21,721-vote gap. Prime Minister Robert Abela's campaign emphasized economic performance, contributing to a fourth consecutive term despite a reduced share from 2022. The opposition conceded early, highlighting the narrowed but still decisive lead. Full official certification and any minor adjustments from remaining counts represent the primary remaining variables that could shift the precise percentage outcome within the projected band.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Volume
$34,779End Date
May 30, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Labour's commanding position in the 5-10% margin category stems from the May 30, 2026, snap parliamentary election results, in which the party secured 51.77% of valid votes against the Nationalist Party's 44.68%, producing an official 21,721-vote gap. Prime Minister Robert Abela's campaign emphasized economic performance, contributing to a fourth consecutive term despite a reduced share from 2022. The opposition conceded early, highlighting the narrowed but still decisive lead. Full official certification and any minor adjustments from remaining counts represent the primary remaining variables that could shift the precise percentage outcome within the projected band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions