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Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market icon

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

Julia Letlow 68%

Bill Cassidy 14%

John Fleming 14.0%

Eric Skrmetta <1%

Polymarket

$161,743 Vol.

Julia Letlow 68%

Bill Cassidy 14%

John Fleming 14.0%

Eric Skrmetta <1%

Polymarket

$161,743 Vol.

Julia Letlow

$3,677 Vol.

68%

Bill Cassidy

$13,316 Vol.

14%

John Fleming

$23,617 Vol.

14%

Eric Skrmetta

$12,942 Vol.

<1%

Blake Miguez

$17,477 Vol.

<1%

Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt

$8,175 Vol.

<1%

Julie Emerson

$31,210 Vol.

<1%

Kathy Seiden

$8,747 Vol.

<1%

Randall Arrington

$14,419 Vol.

<1%

Chris Holder

$5,481 Vol.

<1%

Xan John

$6,010 Vol.

<1%

Tracy Dendy

$16,672 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$161,743
End Date
May 16, 2026
Created At
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Julia Letlow" at 68%, followed by "Bill Cassidy" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $161.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Julia Letlow" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bill Cassidy" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.