Pennsylvania’s 8th Congressional District features a competitive 2026 House matchup between Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan and Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti, the Scranton mayor. Trader consensus pricing Cognetti ahead reflects her consistent edge in June polling, stronger recent fundraising, and a widening Democratic voter registration advantage in the district. Bresnahan has drawn criticism over congressional stock trades and remains underwater in favorability measures, while local issues such as data center development and economic pressures have shaped the contest. The race is rated a toss-up by major forecasters, with an October 29 debate and November 3 election still ahead.