**Paige Cognetti leads trader consensus in the PA-08 House race primarily due to her substantial fundraising edge and incumbent Rob Bresnahan’s ongoing stock-trading controversies.** Cognetti, Scranton’s mayor, outraised Bresnahan by roughly $800,000 in the second quarter of 2026 and holds a clear cash-on-hand advantage heading into the final stretch. Multiple Democratic-leaning polls from June showed her narrowly ahead or tied, while Bresnahan’s favorability ratings sit underwater amid scrutiny over hundreds of trades executed as a member of Congress. The district remains competitive—Trump carried it in 2024—yet race raters have shifted it to toss-up or tilt-D status. Both candidates have committed to an October 29 debate, and economic issues including taxes and affordability continue to define the contest with the November 3 general election approaching.