Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 19 primary in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District, facing Democrat Nancy Mannion, who also secured her nomination without opposition. The district’s established Republican lean and Smucker’s incumbency since 2017 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 88%. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns in central and southern Pennsylvania counties. The general election on November 3 offers limited avenues for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in national conditions or candidate-specific developments before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPA-11 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
PA-11 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
88%
Parti démocrate
12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$2,008 Vol.
88%
Parti démocrate
$808 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 19 primary in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District, facing Democrat Nancy Mannion, who also secured her nomination without opposition. The district’s established Republican lean and Smucker’s incumbency since 2017 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 88%. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns in central and southern Pennsylvania counties. The general election on November 3 offers limited avenues for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in national conditions or candidate-specific developments before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$2,815Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 19 primary in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District, facing Democrat Nancy Mannion, who also secured her nomination without opposition. The district’s established Republican lean and Smucker’s incumbency since 2017 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 88%. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns in central and southern Pennsylvania counties. The general election on November 3 offers limited avenues for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in national conditions or candidate-specific developments before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$2,815Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 19 primary in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District, facing Democrat Nancy Mannion, who also secured her nomination without opposition. The district’s established Republican lean and Smucker’s incumbency since 2017 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 88%. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns in central and southern Pennsylvania counties. The general election on November 3 offers limited avenues for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in national conditions or candidate-specific developments before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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