Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 19 primary in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District, facing Democrat Nancy Mannion, who also secured her nomination without opposition. The district’s established Republican lean and Smucker’s incumbency since 2017 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 88%. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns in central and southern Pennsylvania counties. The general election on November 3 offers limited avenues for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in national conditions or candidate-specific developments before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de PA-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de PA-11
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
87%
Partido Demócrata
12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$2,485 Vol.
87%
Partido Demócrata
$808 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 19 primary in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District, facing Democrat Nancy Mannion, who also secured her nomination without opposition. The district’s established Republican lean and Smucker’s incumbency since 2017 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 88%. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns in central and southern Pennsylvania counties. The general election on November 3 offers limited avenues for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in national conditions or candidate-specific developments before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$3,291Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 19 primary in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District, facing Democrat Nancy Mannion, who also secured her nomination without opposition. The district’s established Republican lean and Smucker’s incumbency since 2017 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 88%. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns in central and southern Pennsylvania counties. The general election on November 3 offers limited avenues for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in national conditions or candidate-specific developments before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$3,291Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 19 primary in Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District, facing Democrat Nancy Mannion, who also secured her nomination without opposition. The district’s established Republican lean and Smucker’s incumbency since 2017 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 88%. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns in central and southern Pennsylvania counties. The general election on November 3 offers limited avenues for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in national conditions or candidate-specific developments before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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