Craig Goldman holds a commanding lead in the TX-12 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and congressional voting. As the incumbent who succeeded Kay Granger in 2025 and secured an uncontested Republican primary, Goldman benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising, and institutional support. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Angela Rodriguez Prilliman’s Democratic primary win has not altered the underlying partisan balance. A national midterm wave favoring Democrats, an unforeseen scandal, or significant health or turnout disruptions remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap in this low-competition contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-12 House Election Winner
TX-12 House Election Winner
$40,079 Vol.
$40,079 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Craig Goldman (R)
95%
Angela Rodriguez Prilliman (D)
6%
$40,079 Vol.
$40,079 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Craig Goldman (R)
$20,223 Vol.
95%
Angela Rodriguez Prilliman (D)
$19,855 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Craig Goldman holds a commanding lead in the TX-12 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and congressional voting. As the incumbent who succeeded Kay Granger in 2025 and secured an uncontested Republican primary, Goldman benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising, and institutional support. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Angela Rodriguez Prilliman’s Democratic primary win has not altered the underlying partisan balance. A national midterm wave favoring Democrats, an unforeseen scandal, or significant health or turnout disruptions remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap in this low-competition contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$40,079End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Craig Goldman holds a commanding lead in the TX-12 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and congressional voting. As the incumbent who succeeded Kay Granger in 2025 and secured an uncontested Republican primary, Goldman benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising, and institutional support. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Angela Rodriguez Prilliman’s Democratic primary win has not altered the underlying partisan balance. A national midterm wave favoring Democrats, an unforeseen scandal, or significant health or turnout disruptions remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap in this low-competition contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,079End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Craig Goldman holds a commanding lead in the TX-12 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and congressional voting. As the incumbent who succeeded Kay Granger in 2025 and secured an uncontested Republican primary, Goldman benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising, and institutional support. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Angela Rodriguez Prilliman’s Democratic primary win has not altered the underlying partisan balance. A national midterm wave favoring Democrats, an unforeseen scandal, or significant health or turnout disruptions remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap in this low-competition contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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