Craig Goldman holds a commanding position in the TX-12 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, following his 2024 victory by 27 points after Kay Granger's retirement. He advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured her nomination amid limited statewide Democratic momentum. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's Fort Worth-area voter base and Goldman's fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million. A major national shift or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors make an upset improbable before the November 3 general election.