Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+22 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advances as the general election opponent on November 3. Mid-decade redistricting preserved the seat's partisan composition amid broader state efforts to bolster Republican opportunities elsewhere. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee aligns with the district's structural advantages, including limited Democratic infrastructure and historical turnout patterns. A major national political realignment, significant scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this solidly Republican territory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,908 交易量
$24,908 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
93%
民主黨
7%
$24,908 交易量
$24,908 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$6,665 交易量
93%
民主黨
$18,243 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+22 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advances as the general election opponent on November 3. Mid-decade redistricting preserved the seat's partisan composition amid broader state efforts to bolster Republican opportunities elsewhere. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee aligns with the district's structural advantages, including limited Democratic infrastructure and historical turnout patterns. A major national political realignment, significant scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this solidly Republican territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$24,908結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+22 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advances as the general election opponent on November 3. Mid-decade redistricting preserved the seat's partisan composition amid broader state efforts to bolster Republican opportunities elsewhere. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee aligns with the district's structural advantages, including limited Democratic infrastructure and historical turnout patterns. A major national political realignment, significant scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this solidly Republican territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,908結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+22 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advances as the general election opponent on November 3. Mid-decade redistricting preserved the seat's partisan composition amid broader state efforts to bolster Republican opportunities elsewhere. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee aligns with the district's structural advantages, including limited Democratic infrastructure and historical turnout patterns. A major national political realignment, significant scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this solidly Republican territory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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