Joe Strada secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 11th Congressional District after a narrow August 18 primary victory over Carey Baker that required a recount, positioning him as the heavy favorite to succeed retiring Rep. Daniel Webster in the November 3 general election. The district, which underwent redistricting to include more of southern Orlando, maintains a strong Republican tilt based on prior results and independent ratings classifying it as safe or solid for the GOP. Strada’s campaign has benefited from substantial self-funding exceeding $5 million and endorsements from House Republican leaders and Florida law enforcement officials, while Democrat James Pericola, who won his primary, faces a significant fundraising and structural disadvantage in the open-seat contest. Trader pricing reflects these partisan and resource imbalances heading into the fall campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-11 House Election Winner
FL-11 House Election Winner
$23,898 Vol.
$23,898 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joe Strada (R)
88%
James Pericola (D)
13%
$23,898 Vol.
$23,898 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joe Strada (R)
$11,352 Vol.
88%
James Pericola (D)
$12,590 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Strada secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 11th Congressional District after a narrow August 18 primary victory over Carey Baker that required a recount, positioning him as the heavy favorite to succeed retiring Rep. Daniel Webster in the November 3 general election. The district, which underwent redistricting to include more of southern Orlando, maintains a strong Republican tilt based on prior results and independent ratings classifying it as safe or solid for the GOP. Strada’s campaign has benefited from substantial self-funding exceeding $5 million and endorsements from House Republican leaders and Florida law enforcement officials, while Democrat James Pericola, who won his primary, faces a significant fundraising and structural disadvantage in the open-seat contest. Trader pricing reflects these partisan and resource imbalances heading into the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$23,898End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Strada secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 11th Congressional District after a narrow August 18 primary victory over Carey Baker that required a recount, positioning him as the heavy favorite to succeed retiring Rep. Daniel Webster in the November 3 general election. The district, which underwent redistricting to include more of southern Orlando, maintains a strong Republican tilt based on prior results and independent ratings classifying it as safe or solid for the GOP. Strada’s campaign has benefited from substantial self-funding exceeding $5 million and endorsements from House Republican leaders and Florida law enforcement officials, while Democrat James Pericola, who won his primary, faces a significant fundraising and structural disadvantage in the open-seat contest. Trader pricing reflects these partisan and resource imbalances heading into the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,898End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Joe Strada secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 11th Congressional District after a narrow August 18 primary victory over Carey Baker that required a recount, positioning him as the heavy favorite to succeed retiring Rep. Daniel Webster in the November 3 general election. The district, which underwent redistricting to include more of southern Orlando, maintains a strong Republican tilt based on prior results and independent ratings classifying it as safe or solid for the GOP. Strada’s campaign has benefited from substantial self-funding exceeding $5 million and endorsements from House Republican leaders and Florida law enforcement officials, while Democrat James Pericola, who won his primary, faces a significant fundraising and structural disadvantage in the open-seat contest. Trader pricing reflects these partisan and resource imbalances heading into the fall campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions