Florida's 11th congressional district holds an R+7 to R+8 partisan voting index and has delivered Republican victories exceeding 60 percent in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus on an 82.5 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement opens the seat ahead of the August 18, 2026 primaries and November 3 general election, yet multiple Republican primary entrants and a narrower Democratic field have produced no polling shifts or fundraising changes sufficient to alter its Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With no major developments in the past 30 days, the market reflects the district's structural advantages and standard midterm dynamics rather than campaign-specific movement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-11 House Election Winner
FL-11 House Election Winner
$18,870 KL.
$18,870 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
15%
$18,870 KL.
$18,870 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,520 KL.
83%
Democratic Party
$11,350 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district holds an R+7 to R+8 partisan voting index and has delivered Republican victories exceeding 60 percent in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus on an 82.5 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement opens the seat ahead of the August 18, 2026 primaries and November 3 general election, yet multiple Republican primary entrants and a narrower Democratic field have produced no polling shifts or fundraising changes sufficient to alter its Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With no major developments in the past 30 days, the market reflects the district's structural advantages and standard midterm dynamics rather than campaign-specific movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,870Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district holds an R+7 to R+8 partisan voting index and has delivered Republican victories exceeding 60 percent in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus on an 82.5 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement opens the seat ahead of the August 18, 2026 primaries and November 3 general election, yet multiple Republican primary entrants and a narrower Democratic field have produced no polling shifts or fundraising changes sufficient to alter its Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With no major developments in the past 30 days, the market reflects the district's structural advantages and standard midterm dynamics rather than campaign-specific movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$18,870Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district holds an R+7 to R+8 partisan voting index and has delivered Republican victories exceeding 60 percent in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus on an 82.5 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement opens the seat ahead of the August 18, 2026 primaries and November 3 general election, yet multiple Republican primary entrants and a narrower Democratic field have produced no polling shifts or fundraising changes sufficient to alter its Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With no major developments in the past 30 days, the market reflects the district's structural advantages and standard midterm dynamics rather than campaign-specific movement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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