Florida's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Daniel Webster, with nonpartisan race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classifying it as safe or solid for the GOP. Joe Strada secured the Republican nomination after a narrow primary victory over former state senator Carey Baker, confirmed by recount, positioning him against Democrat James Pericola in the November general election. The district's partisan lean, reflected in prior election margins and presidential voting patterns, combined with Strada's substantial fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Pericola advanced from a lower-profile Democratic primary, but limited resources and the district's structural Republican advantage constrain Democratic prospects absent major late shifts. No significant developments have altered the competitive landscape since the August primaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-11 House Election Winner
FL-11 House Election Winner
$24,030 Vol.
$24,030 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joe Strada (R)
88%
James Pericola (D)
13%
$24,030 Vol.
$24,030 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joe Strada (R)
$11,440 Vol.
88%
James Pericola (D)
$12,590 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Daniel Webster, with nonpartisan race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classifying it as safe or solid for the GOP. Joe Strada secured the Republican nomination after a narrow primary victory over former state senator Carey Baker, confirmed by recount, positioning him against Democrat James Pericola in the November general election. The district's partisan lean, reflected in prior election margins and presidential voting patterns, combined with Strada's substantial fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Pericola advanced from a lower-profile Democratic primary, but limited resources and the district's structural Republican advantage constrain Democratic prospects absent major late shifts. No significant developments have altered the competitive landscape since the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$24,030End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Daniel Webster, with nonpartisan race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classifying it as safe or solid for the GOP. Joe Strada secured the Republican nomination after a narrow primary victory over former state senator Carey Baker, confirmed by recount, positioning him against Democrat James Pericola in the November general election. The district's partisan lean, reflected in prior election margins and presidential voting patterns, combined with Strada's substantial fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Pericola advanced from a lower-profile Democratic primary, but limited resources and the district's structural Republican advantage constrain Democratic prospects absent major late shifts. No significant developments have altered the competitive landscape since the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,030End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Daniel Webster, with nonpartisan race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classifying it as safe or solid for the GOP. Joe Strada secured the Republican nomination after a narrow primary victory over former state senator Carey Baker, confirmed by recount, positioning him against Democrat James Pericola in the November general election. The district's partisan lean, reflected in prior election margins and presidential voting patterns, combined with Strada's substantial fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Pericola advanced from a lower-profile Democratic primary, but limited resources and the district's structural Republican advantage constrain Democratic prospects absent major late shifts. No significant developments have altered the competitive landscape since the August primaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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