Incumbent Democrat Maxwell Frost faces no opposition in Florida’s 10th congressional district after the filing deadline passed with no Republican or other candidates qualifying for the ballot. Primaries and the November general election were canceled under state law, leaving Frost to win by default in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts and carrying a D+13 Partisan Voter Index. The absence of a contested race, combined with Frost’s prior victories and the district’s consistent Democratic tilt in presidential voting, has produced the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Late developments such as a successful write-in effort, court intervention, or unforeseen vacancy would be required to alter the outcome, though none appear plausible at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-10 House Election Winner
FL-10 House Election Winner
$23,520 Vol.
$23,520 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
1%
$23,520 Vol.
$23,520 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,786 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$7,734 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxwell Frost faces no opposition in Florida’s 10th congressional district after the filing deadline passed with no Republican or other candidates qualifying for the ballot. Primaries and the November general election were canceled under state law, leaving Frost to win by default in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts and carrying a D+13 Partisan Voter Index. The absence of a contested race, combined with Frost’s prior victories and the district’s consistent Democratic tilt in presidential voting, has produced the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Late developments such as a successful write-in effort, court intervention, or unforeseen vacancy would be required to alter the outcome, though none appear plausible at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$23,520End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxwell Frost faces no opposition in Florida’s 10th congressional district after the filing deadline passed with no Republican or other candidates qualifying for the ballot. Primaries and the November general election were canceled under state law, leaving Frost to win by default in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts and carrying a D+13 Partisan Voter Index. The absence of a contested race, combined with Frost’s prior victories and the district’s consistent Democratic tilt in presidential voting, has produced the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Late developments such as a successful write-in effort, court intervention, or unforeseen vacancy would be required to alter the outcome, though none appear plausible at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,520End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maxwell Frost faces no opposition in Florida’s 10th congressional district after the filing deadline passed with no Republican or other candidates qualifying for the ballot. Primaries and the November general election were canceled under state law, leaving Frost to win by default in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts and carrying a D+13 Partisan Voter Index. The absence of a contested race, combined with Frost’s prior victories and the district’s consistent Democratic tilt in presidential voting, has produced the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Late developments such as a successful write-in effort, court intervention, or unforeseen vacancy would be required to alter the outcome, though none appear plausible at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions