Incumbent Democrat Joyce Beatty holds a commanding lead in the OH-03 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook PVI and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential candidates under current lines. Beatty secured her party’s nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, while Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney, who advanced unopposed, has raised negligible funds and previously lost a GOP primary. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic with projected margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Beatty, or unusually high Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-03 House Election Winner
OH-03 House Election Winner
$58,704 Vol.
$58,704 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joyce Beatty (D)
97%
Cleophus Dulaney (R)
2%
$58,704 Vol.
$58,704 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joyce Beatty (D)
$30,001 Vol.
97%
Cleophus Dulaney (R)
$28,702 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joyce Beatty holds a commanding lead in the OH-03 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook PVI and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential candidates under current lines. Beatty secured her party’s nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, while Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney, who advanced unopposed, has raised negligible funds and previously lost a GOP primary. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic with projected margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Beatty, or unusually high Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$58,704End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joyce Beatty holds a commanding lead in the OH-03 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook PVI and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential candidates under current lines. Beatty secured her party’s nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, while Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney, who advanced unopposed, has raised negligible funds and previously lost a GOP primary. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic with projected margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Beatty, or unusually high Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$58,704End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joyce Beatty holds a commanding lead in the OH-03 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook PVI and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential candidates under current lines. Beatty secured her party’s nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, while Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney, who advanced unopposed, has raised negligible funds and previously lost a GOP primary. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic with projected margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Beatty, or unusually high Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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