Incumbent Democrat Joyce Beatty holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, as reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring her reelection. The Franklin County-based seat, encompassing inner Columbus and surrounding areas, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris’s 17.5-point presidential win there in 2024. Beatty’s long tenure since 2013, primary victory with nearly 80 percent of the vote, and substantial fundraising edge reinforce her frontrunner status against Republican Cleophus Dulaney, who advanced unopposed in his primary but trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. A major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-03 House Election Winner
OH-03 House Election Winner
$58,704 Vol.
$58,704 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joyce Beatty (D)
97%
Cleophus Dulaney (R)
2%
$58,704 Vol.
$58,704 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joyce Beatty (D)
$30,001 Vol.
97%
Cleophus Dulaney (R)
$28,702 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joyce Beatty holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, as reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring her reelection. The Franklin County-based seat, encompassing inner Columbus and surrounding areas, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris’s 17.5-point presidential win there in 2024. Beatty’s long tenure since 2013, primary victory with nearly 80 percent of the vote, and substantial fundraising edge reinforce her frontrunner status against Republican Cleophus Dulaney, who advanced unopposed in his primary but trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. A major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$58,704End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joyce Beatty holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, as reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring her reelection. The Franklin County-based seat, encompassing inner Columbus and surrounding areas, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris’s 17.5-point presidential win there in 2024. Beatty’s long tenure since 2013, primary victory with nearly 80 percent of the vote, and substantial fundraising edge reinforce her frontrunner status against Republican Cleophus Dulaney, who advanced unopposed in his primary but trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. A major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$58,704End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joyce Beatty holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, as reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring her reelection. The Franklin County-based seat, encompassing inner Columbus and surrounding areas, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris’s 17.5-point presidential win there in 2024. Beatty’s long tenure since 2013, primary victory with nearly 80 percent of the vote, and substantial fundraising edge reinforce her frontrunner status against Republican Cleophus Dulaney, who advanced unopposed in his primary but trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. A major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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