Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds New York’s 11th congressional district, a Staten Island-based seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 that has trended strongly Republican in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% Republican price aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid Republican, driven by the district’s voter composition and Malliotakis’s established base. The U.S. Supreme Court’s March 2026 decision preserved the current map after a state court challenge, removing uncertainty over potential redistricting that could have altered competitiveness. Democratic primary contenders face limited resources ahead of the June 23 contest, with the general election on November 3 offering few apparent paths to shift the balance absent major national swings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-11 Wahlsieger
$14,503 Vol.
$14,503 Vol.
Republikanische Partei
87%
Demokratische Partei
11%
$14,503 Vol.
$14,503 Vol.
Republikanische Partei
87%
Demokratische Partei
11%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds New York’s 11th congressional district, a Staten Island-based seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 that has trended strongly Republican in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% Republican price aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid Republican, driven by the district’s voter composition and Malliotakis’s established base. The U.S. Supreme Court’s March 2026 decision preserved the current map after a state court challenge, removing uncertainty over potential redistricting that could have altered competitiveness. Democratic primary contenders face limited resources ahead of the June 23 contest, with the general election on November 3 offering few apparent paths to shift the balance absent major national swings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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