Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th Congressional District, encompassing Staten Island and southern Brooklyn neighborhoods, where Republican candidates have maintained consistent advantages in recent cycles. Her unopposed primary and prior reelection margins, combined with strong fundraising and alignment with district priorities on taxes, border security, and public safety, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Democratic nominee Michael DeCillis, a former NYPD officer and 9/11 responder who won his June primary, brings local ties and union background but faces structural barriers in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-11 House Election Winner
NY-11 House Election Winner
$26,179 Vol.
$26,179 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
93%
Michael DeCillis (D)
7%
$26,179 Vol.
$26,179 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
$12,886 Vol.
93%
Michael DeCillis (D)
$13,293 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th Congressional District, encompassing Staten Island and southern Brooklyn neighborhoods, where Republican candidates have maintained consistent advantages in recent cycles. Her unopposed primary and prior reelection margins, combined with strong fundraising and alignment with district priorities on taxes, border security, and public safety, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Democratic nominee Michael DeCillis, a former NYPD officer and 9/11 responder who won his June primary, brings local ties and union background but faces structural barriers in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$26,179End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th Congressional District, encompassing Staten Island and southern Brooklyn neighborhoods, where Republican candidates have maintained consistent advantages in recent cycles. Her unopposed primary and prior reelection margins, combined with strong fundraising and alignment with district priorities on taxes, border security, and public safety, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Democratic nominee Michael DeCillis, a former NYPD officer and 9/11 responder who won his June primary, brings local ties and union background but faces structural barriers in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,179End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th Congressional District, encompassing Staten Island and southern Brooklyn neighborhoods, where Republican candidates have maintained consistent advantages in recent cycles. Her unopposed primary and prior reelection margins, combined with strong fundraising and alignment with district priorities on taxes, border security, and public safety, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Democratic nominee Michael DeCillis, a former NYPD officer and 9/11 responder who won his June primary, brings local ties and union background but faces structural barriers in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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