The open WI-07 seat in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index favors the Republican nominee, as reflected in the 82.5% trader consensus. Incumbent Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for governor instead of seeking re-election created the vacancy, drawing multiple GOP primary candidates including Michael Alfonso, who secured an early endorsement from President Trump. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary contenders face structural challenges in a rural, northern Wisconsin district where Republicans have held the seat with comfortable margins in recent cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 11 leave room for shifts, though current positioning aligns with the district’s established partisan baseline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWI-07 Wahlsieger
WI-07 Wahlsieger
$19,831 Vol.
$19,831 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
83%
Demokratische Partei
18%
$19,831 Vol.
$19,831 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$9,396 Vol.
83%
Demokratische Partei
$10,435 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WI-07 seat in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index favors the Republican nominee, as reflected in the 82.5% trader consensus. Incumbent Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for governor instead of seeking re-election created the vacancy, drawing multiple GOP primary candidates including Michael Alfonso, who secured an early endorsement from President Trump. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary contenders face structural challenges in a rural, northern Wisconsin district where Republicans have held the seat with comfortable margins in recent cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 11 leave room for shifts, though current positioning aligns with the district’s established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$19,831Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WI-07 seat in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index favors the Republican nominee, as reflected in the 82.5% trader consensus. Incumbent Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for governor instead of seeking re-election created the vacancy, drawing multiple GOP primary candidates including Michael Alfonso, who secured an early endorsement from President Trump. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary contenders face structural challenges in a rural, northern Wisconsin district where Republicans have held the seat with comfortable margins in recent cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 11 leave room for shifts, though current positioning aligns with the district’s established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$19,831Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open WI-07 seat in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index favors the Republican nominee, as reflected in the 82.5% trader consensus. Incumbent Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for governor instead of seeking re-election created the vacancy, drawing multiple GOP primary candidates including Michael Alfonso, who secured an early endorsement from President Trump. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary contenders face structural challenges in a rural, northern Wisconsin district where Republicans have held the seat with comfortable margins in recent cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 11 leave room for shifts, though current positioning aligns with the district’s established partisan baseline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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