Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% due to the absence of any credible political catalysts for President Trump's early departure, such as resignation, impeachment, 25th Amendment invocation, or health issues, amid his continued active leadership. Over the past week, Trump signed an executive order on March 31, held a cabinet meeting on March 26, and engaged in bilateral diplomacy on March 17, while navigating foreign policy tensions with Iran—including threats of military action—and domestic legal hurdles like a federal judge halting White House ballroom construction. No major developments in the last 30 days have shifted odds, reflecting structural barriers to removal given Republican congressional majorities and historical low rates of presidential ousters before term end; late-breaking scandals or health events could still alter this trajectory before June 30.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$1,917,890 Vol.
$1,917,890 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Ja
$1,917,890 Vol.
$1,917,890 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% due to the absence of any credible political catalysts for President Trump's early departure, such as resignation, impeachment, 25th Amendment invocation, or health issues, amid his continued active leadership. Over the past week, Trump signed an executive order on March 31, held a cabinet meeting on March 26, and engaged in bilateral diplomacy on March 17, while navigating foreign policy tensions with Iran—including threats of military action—and domestic legal hurdles like a federal judge halting White House ballroom construction. No major developments in the last 30 days have shifted odds, reflecting structural barriers to removal given Republican congressional majorities and historical low rates of presidential ousters before term end; late-breaking scandals or health events could still alter this trajectory before June 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volumen
$1,917,890Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% due to the absence of any credible political catalysts for President Trump's early departure, such as resignation, impeachment, 25th Amendment invocation, or health issues, amid his continued active leadership. Over the past week, Trump signed an executive order on March 31, held a cabinet meeting on March 26, and engaged in bilateral diplomacy on March 17, while navigating foreign policy tensions with Iran—including threats of military action—and domestic legal hurdles like a federal judge halting White House ballroom construction. No major developments in the last 30 days have shifted odds, reflecting structural barriers to removal given Republican congressional majorities and historical low rates of presidential ousters before term end; late-breaking scandals or health events could still alter this trajectory before June 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,944,763Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% due to the absence of any credible political catalysts for President Trump's early departure, such as resignation, impeachment, 25th Amendment invocation, or health issues, amid his continued active leadership. Over the past week, Trump signed an executive order on March 31, held a cabinet meeting on March 26, and engaged in bilateral diplomacy on March 17, while navigating foreign policy tensions with Iran—including threats of military action—and domestic legal hurdles like a federal judge halting White House ballroom construction. No major developments in the last 30 days have shifted odds, reflecting structural barriers to removal given Republican congressional majorities and historical low rates of presidential ousters before term end; late-breaking scandals or health events could still alter this trajectory before June 30.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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