Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.5% for President Trump exiting office by June 30, driven by the absence of any credible resignation signals, invocation of the 25th Amendment, impeachment proceedings advancing to Senate trial, or incapacitating health events in recent weeks. Yesterday's firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi amid DOJ turbulence exemplifies routine cabinet reshuffling rather than administration instability, while partisan House impeachment resolutions like H.Res.939 remain stalled without bipartisan support or Senate viability given Republican majorities. Social media rumors of resignation lack verification from official sources. Midterm elections in November could shift congressional dynamics, but structural barriers—requiring two-thirds Senate conviction—sustain high confidence in his continuance through the resolution date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$1,976,044 Vol.
$1,976,044 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Ja
$1,976,044 Vol.
$1,976,044 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.5% for President Trump exiting office by June 30, driven by the absence of any credible resignation signals, invocation of the 25th Amendment, impeachment proceedings advancing to Senate trial, or incapacitating health events in recent weeks. Yesterday's firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi amid DOJ turbulence exemplifies routine cabinet reshuffling rather than administration instability, while partisan House impeachment resolutions like H.Res.939 remain stalled without bipartisan support or Senate viability given Republican majorities. Social media rumors of resignation lack verification from official sources. Midterm elections in November could shift congressional dynamics, but structural barriers—requiring two-thirds Senate conviction—sustain high confidence in his continuance through the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volumen
$1,976,044Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.5% for President Trump exiting office by June 30, driven by the absence of any credible resignation signals, invocation of the 25th Amendment, impeachment proceedings advancing to Senate trial, or incapacitating health events in recent weeks. Yesterday's firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi amid DOJ turbulence exemplifies routine cabinet reshuffling rather than administration instability, while partisan House impeachment resolutions like H.Res.939 remain stalled without bipartisan support or Senate viability given Republican majorities. Social media rumors of resignation lack verification from official sources. Midterm elections in November could shift congressional dynamics, but structural barriers—requiring two-thirds Senate conviction—sustain high confidence in his continuance through the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,976,052Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.5% for President Trump exiting office by June 30, driven by the absence of any credible resignation signals, invocation of the 25th Amendment, impeachment proceedings advancing to Senate trial, or incapacitating health events in recent weeks. Yesterday's firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi amid DOJ turbulence exemplifies routine cabinet reshuffling rather than administration instability, while partisan House impeachment resolutions like H.Res.939 remain stalled without bipartisan support or Senate viability given Republican majorities. Social media rumors of resignation lack verification from official sources. Midterm elections in November could shift congressional dynamics, but structural barriers—requiring two-thirds Senate conviction—sustain high confidence in his continuance through the resolution date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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