Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress create significant procedural barriers to removal, as any impeachment resolution requires House passage followed by a two-thirds Senate vote for conviction. Symbolic Democratic articles of impeachment introduced in recent months, along with calls to invoke the 25th Amendment over health or fitness concerns, have advanced no further amid unified Republican opposition. No verified reports of resignation, incapacity proceedings, or disqualifying legal developments have surfaced since inauguration. The November 2026 midterms remain the nearest electoral checkpoint, yet even a shift in House control would leave insufficient time for full removal proceedings before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution date. Traders therefore assign an 90.5 percent probability that Donald Trump completes the period in office.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$8,516,891 Vol.
$8,516,891 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$8,516,891 Vol.
$8,516,891 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress create significant procedural barriers to removal, as any impeachment resolution requires House passage followed by a two-thirds Senate vote for conviction. Symbolic Democratic articles of impeachment introduced in recent months, along with calls to invoke the 25th Amendment over health or fitness concerns, have advanced no further amid unified Republican opposition. No verified reports of resignation, incapacity proceedings, or disqualifying legal developments have surfaced since inauguration. The November 2026 midterms remain the nearest electoral checkpoint, yet even a shift in House control would leave insufficient time for full removal proceedings before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution date. Traders therefore assign an 90.5 percent probability that Donald Trump completes the period in office.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$8,516,891Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress create significant procedural barriers to removal, as any impeachment resolution requires House passage followed by a two-thirds Senate vote for conviction. Symbolic Democratic articles of impeachment introduced in recent months, along with calls to invoke the 25th Amendment over health or fitness concerns, have advanced no further amid unified Republican opposition. No verified reports of resignation, incapacity proceedings, or disqualifying legal developments have surfaced since inauguration. The November 2026 midterms remain the nearest electoral checkpoint, yet even a shift in House control would leave insufficient time for full removal proceedings before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution date. Traders therefore assign an 90.5 percent probability that Donald Trump completes the period in office.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$8,516,891Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress create significant procedural barriers to removal, as any impeachment resolution requires House passage followed by a two-thirds Senate vote for conviction. Symbolic Democratic articles of impeachment introduced in recent months, along with calls to invoke the 25th Amendment over health or fitness concerns, have advanced no further amid unified Republican opposition. No verified reports of resignation, incapacity proceedings, or disqualifying legal developments have surfaced since inauguration. The November 2026 midterms remain the nearest electoral checkpoint, yet even a shift in House control would leave insufficient time for full removal proceedings before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution date. Traders therefore assign an 90.5 percent probability that Donald Trump completes the period in office.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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