Park Chan-dae of the opposition Democratic Party commands 90% trader consensus to win Incheon's mayoral election on June 3, driven by consistent double-digit polling leads in final pre-election surveys, including Realmeter's May 28-29 poll showing him at 53% against Yoo Jeong-bok's 29% for the ruling People Power Party. Voter sentiment reflects national momentum favoring the Democratic Party amid economic pressures and administration fatigue, widening Park's advantage from earlier Gallup averages around 48-32%. Low probabilities for challengers like Yoo Dong-soo or independents stem from their lack of polling traction. Unexpected turnout shifts or late scandals could narrow the gap, though odds imply strong path to victory under South Korea's first-past-the-post system.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPark Chan-dae 91%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.3%
Yoo Dong-soo <1%
Lee Hak-jae <1%
$178,286 Vol.
$178,286 Vol.

Park Chan-dae
91%

Yoo Jeong-bok
4%

Yoo Dong-soo
1%

Lee Hak-jae
1%

Kim Kyo-heung
<1%

Chung Il-young
<1%

Bae June-young
<1%

Park Nam-choon
<1%

Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%
Park Chan-dae 91%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.3%
Yoo Dong-soo <1%
Lee Hak-jae <1%
$178,286 Vol.
$178,286 Vol.

Park Chan-dae
91%

Yoo Jeong-bok
4%

Yoo Dong-soo
1%

Lee Hak-jae
1%

Kim Kyo-heung
<1%

Chung Il-young
<1%

Bae June-young
<1%

Park Nam-choon
<1%

Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Markt eröffnet: Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Park Chan-dae of the opposition Democratic Party commands 90% trader consensus to win Incheon's mayoral election on June 3, driven by consistent double-digit polling leads in final pre-election surveys, including Realmeter's May 28-29 poll showing him at 53% against Yoo Jeong-bok's 29% for the ruling People Power Party. Voter sentiment reflects national momentum favoring the Democratic Party amid economic pressures and administration fatigue, widening Park's advantage from earlier Gallup averages around 48-32%. Low probabilities for challengers like Yoo Dong-soo or independents stem from their lack of polling traction. Unexpected turnout shifts or late scandals could narrow the gap, though odds imply strong path to victory under South Korea's first-past-the-post system.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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