Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Choo Mi-ae at 76.6% to win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, driven by her commanding lead in Democratic Party (DP) primary polls and strong regional popularity in the DP-leaning province surrounding Seoul. Recent DP internal surveys and party leadership signals position her as the presumptive nominee, boosting her implied probability amid incumbent Kim Dong-yeon's lower 17% odds, as he eyes a potential Senate bid or national role rather than re-election. Conservative challengers like Yoo Seung-min (7%) and Yoo Seong-min (3.1%) trail due to the party's weakened national standing post-2024 legislative elections, with the race's dynamics hinging on DP unity and any PPP coalition efforts ahead of the June 2026 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertChoo Mi-ae 74.3%
Kim Dong-yeon 21%
Han Jun-ho 1.9%
Yoo Seong-min 1.8%
$2,566,846 Vol.
$2,566,846 Vol.
Choo Mi-ae
74%
Kim Dong-yeon
21%
Han Jun-ho
2%
Yoo Seong-min
2%
Won Hee-ryong
<1%
Lee Jun-seok
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Yeom Tae-yeong
<1%
Lee Un-ju
<1%
Kim Moon-soo
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Kim Byeong-ju
<1%
Kim Eun-hye
<1%
Choo Mi-ae 74.3%
Kim Dong-yeon 21%
Han Jun-ho 1.9%
Yoo Seong-min 1.8%
$2,566,846 Vol.
$2,566,846 Vol.
Choo Mi-ae
74%
Kim Dong-yeon
21%
Han Jun-ho
2%
Yoo Seong-min
2%
Won Hee-ryong
<1%
Lee Jun-seok
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Yeom Tae-yeong
<1%
Lee Un-ju
<1%
Kim Moon-soo
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Kim Byeong-ju
<1%
Kim Eun-hye
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Choo Mi-ae at 76.6% to win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, driven by her commanding lead in Democratic Party (DP) primary polls and strong regional popularity in the DP-leaning province surrounding Seoul. Recent DP internal surveys and party leadership signals position her as the presumptive nominee, boosting her implied probability amid incumbent Kim Dong-yeon's lower 17% odds, as he eyes a potential Senate bid or national role rather than re-election. Conservative challengers like Yoo Seung-min (7%) and Yoo Seong-min (3.1%) trail due to the party's weakened national standing post-2024 legislative elections, with the race's dynamics hinging on DP unity and any PPP coalition efforts ahead of the June 2026 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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