Traders overwhelmingly favor Choo Mi-ae at 77% implied probability to win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, driven by recent polls showing her commanding lead among Democratic Party (DP) voters in this left-leaning stronghold surrounding Seoul. As a high-profile former Justice Minister with strong name recognition, she edges incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon (17%), whose approval has dipped amid local economic complaints and fiscal policy debates over the past month. Conservative Yoo Seung-min (7%) draws speculative support from People Power Party (PPP) circles eyeing a challenge, though PPP's weak historical performance in Gyeonggi caps odds. No primary dates set yet, but DP nomination battles could shift trader consensus ahead of the June 2026 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertChoo Mi-ae 76.6%
Kim Dong-yeon 17%
Yoo Seong-min 3.2%
Han Jun-ho 1.9%
$2,561,056 Vol.
$2,561,056 Vol.
Choo Mi-ae
77%
Kim Dong-yeon
17%
Yoo Seong-min
3%
Han Jun-ho
2%
Won Hee-ryong
<1%
Lee Jun-seok
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Yeom Tae-yeong
<1%
Lee Un-ju
<1%
Kim Moon-soo
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Kim Byeong-ju
<1%
Kim Eun-hye
<1%
Choo Mi-ae 76.6%
Kim Dong-yeon 17%
Yoo Seong-min 3.2%
Han Jun-ho 1.9%
$2,561,056 Vol.
$2,561,056 Vol.
Choo Mi-ae
77%
Kim Dong-yeon
17%
Yoo Seong-min
3%
Han Jun-ho
2%
Won Hee-ryong
<1%
Lee Jun-seok
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Yeom Tae-yeong
<1%
Lee Un-ju
<1%
Kim Moon-soo
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Kim Byeong-ju
<1%
Kim Eun-hye
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders overwhelmingly favor Choo Mi-ae at 77% implied probability to win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, driven by recent polls showing her commanding lead among Democratic Party (DP) voters in this left-leaning stronghold surrounding Seoul. As a high-profile former Justice Minister with strong name recognition, she edges incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon (17%), whose approval has dipped amid local economic complaints and fiscal policy debates over the past month. Conservative Yoo Seung-min (7%) draws speculative support from People Power Party (PPP) circles eyeing a challenge, though PPP's weak historical performance in Gyeonggi caps odds. No primary dates set yet, but DP nomination battles could shift trader consensus ahead of the June 2026 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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