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Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger

icon for Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger
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Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger

Daniel Ennis 76%

Janice Boylan 15.0%

Ray McAdam 5.3%

Gerry Hutch 4.7%

Polymarket

$1,055,980 Vol.

Daniel Ennis 76%

Janice Boylan 15.0%

Ray McAdam 5.3%

Gerry Hutch 4.7%

Polymarket

$1,055,980 Vol.

Daniel Ennis

$26,702 Vol.

76%

Janice Boylan

$16,033 Vol.

15%

Ray McAdam

$32,735 Vol.

5%

Gerry Hutch

$501,658 Vol.

5%

Gillian Sherratt

$181,419 Vol.

1%

Malachy Steenson

$19,473 Vol.

1%

Janet Horner

$9,464 Vol.

1%

Ian Noel Smyth

$12,216 Vol.

1%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$52,443 Vol.

<1%

Séamas McGrattan

$7,372 Vol.

<1%

Mary Fitzpatrick

$43,196 Vol.

<1%

John Stephens

$153,269 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis leads trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability to win the Dublin Central Dáil by-election on May 22, driven by his deep local roots in north inner-city Dublin, vigorous door-to-door campaigning, and bookmaker favoritism reflecting party momentum on housing affordability and cost-of-living relief highlighted in recent candidate debates. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan holds 15.1% amid competition from independents like controversial figure Gerry Hutch at 4.7%, whose anti-immigration remarks have polarized voters without broad traction, while Fine Gael's Ray McAdam sits at 5.3% struggling to recapture the seat vacated by Paschal Donohoe. Absent specific opinion polls, traders weigh Ennis's community activism against coalition government fatigue in this competitive four-seat constituency.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volumen
$1,055,980
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis leads trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability to win the Dublin Central Dáil by-election on May 22, driven by his deep local roots in north inner-city Dublin, vigorous door-to-door campaigning, and bookmaker favoritism reflecting party momentum on housing affordability and cost-of-living relief highlighted in recent candidate debates. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan holds 15.1% amid competition from independents like controversial figure Gerry Hutch at 4.7%, whose anti-immigration remarks have polarized voters without broad traction, while Fine Gael's Ray McAdam sits at 5.3% struggling to recapture the seat vacated by Paschal Donohoe. Absent specific opinion polls, traders weigh Ennis's community activism against coalition government fatigue in this competitive four-seat constituency.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volumen
$1,055,980
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 12 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Daniel Ennis" mit 76%, gefolgt von „Janice Boylan" mit 15%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 76¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 76% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.1 million generiert, seit der Markt am Feb 20, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 12 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" ist „Daniel Ennis" mit 76%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 76% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Janice Boylan" mit 15%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.