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Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger

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Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger

Daniel Ennis 76%

Janice Boylan 9.6%

John Stephens 8.2%

Gerry Hutch 4.3%

Polymarket

$786,364 Vol.

Daniel Ennis 76%

Janice Boylan 9.6%

John Stephens 8.2%

Gerry Hutch 4.3%

Polymarket

$786,364 Vol.

Daniel Ennis

$12,435 Vol.

76%

Janice Boylan

$6,252 Vol.

10%

John Stephens

$76,211 Vol.

8%

Gerry Hutch

$495,531 Vol.

4%

Ray McAdam

$5,247 Vol.

4%

Gillian Sherratt

$122,136 Vol.

2%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$4,466 Vol.

1%

Ian Noel Smyth

$6,396 Vol.

<1%

Malachy Steenson

$13,538 Vol.

<1%

Mary Fitzpatrick

$36,927 Vol.

<1%

Janet Horner

$3,371 Vol.

<1%

Séamas McGrattan

$3,854 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at 75.5% implied probability to win the Dublin Central Dáil by-election on May 22, reflecting his strong local profile from the 2024 local elections, emphasis on housing reform, poverty alleviation, and cost-of-living issues, bolstered by positive canvassing reception and the party's rising national appeal amid Sinn Féin's polling challenges. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan, selected in late February after a competitive convention, holds 11.2% as the party defends its constituency foothold in a diverse working-class area with independent traditions and lingering 2023 riot tensions. Fianna Fáil's John Stephens surged to 5.9% post his March 30 selection as Deputy Lord Mayor, while Gerry Hutch's 3.8% stems from notoriety despite criminal associations; low by-election turnout and STV transfers could amplify frontrunner advantages ahead of the writ.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volumen
$786,364
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at 75.5% implied probability to win the Dublin Central Dáil by-election on May 22, reflecting his strong local profile from the 2024 local elections, emphasis on housing reform, poverty alleviation, and cost-of-living issues, bolstered by positive canvassing reception and the party's rising national appeal amid Sinn Féin's polling challenges. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan, selected in late February after a competitive convention, holds 11.2% as the party defends its constituency foothold in a diverse working-class area with independent traditions and lingering 2023 riot tensions. Fianna Fáil's John Stephens surged to 5.9% post his March 30 selection as Deputy Lord Mayor, while Gerry Hutch's 3.8% stems from notoriety despite criminal associations; low by-election turnout and STV transfers could amplify frontrunner advantages ahead of the writ.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volumen
$786,364
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 12 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Daniel Ennis" mit 76%, gefolgt von „Janice Boylan" mit 10%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 76¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 76% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $786.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Feb 20, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 12 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" ist „Daniel Ennis" mit 76%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 76% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Janice Boylan" mit 10%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.