Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the Kuomintang (KMT) to win the most head-of-government positions—22 mayoral and magistrate seats across Taiwan's special municipalities, cities, and counties—in the November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting recent KMT-TPP coordination. Opposition parties approved a cooperation agreement last week (March 20), building on their March 13-14 joint policy platform on welfare, housing, and development, to align candidate nominations and avoid vote-splitting in key races. This pan-opposition pact exploits ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) incumbency fatigue amid legislative deadlock, echoing KMT's 2022 local dominance despite TPP founder Ko Wen-je's March 26 corruption sentencing to 17 years, which sidelines TPP prospects. DPP holds urban strongholds but faces uphill path to overtake; full results from Central Election Commission resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKommunalwahlen in Taiwan 2026: Parteisieger
Kommunalwahlen in Taiwan 2026: Parteisieger
Kuomintang (KMT) 88%
Demokratische Fortschrittspartei (DPP) 12%
Taiwanische Volkspartei (TPP) 1.8%
$15,475 Vol.
$15,475 Vol.

Kuomintang (KMT)
88%

Demokratische Fortschrittspartei (DPP)
12%

Taiwanische Volkspartei (TPP)
2%
Kuomintang (KMT) 88%
Demokratische Fortschrittspartei (DPP) 12%
Taiwanische Volkspartei (TPP) 1.8%
$15,475 Vol.
$15,475 Vol.

Kuomintang (KMT)
88%

Demokratische Fortschrittspartei (DPP)
12%

Taiwanische Volkspartei (TPP)
2%
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 4, 2025, 3:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the Kuomintang (KMT) to win the most head-of-government positions—22 mayoral and magistrate seats across Taiwan's special municipalities, cities, and counties—in the November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting recent KMT-TPP coordination. Opposition parties approved a cooperation agreement last week (March 20), building on their March 13-14 joint policy platform on welfare, housing, and development, to align candidate nominations and avoid vote-splitting in key races. This pan-opposition pact exploits ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) incumbency fatigue amid legislative deadlock, echoing KMT's 2022 local dominance despite TPP founder Ko Wen-je's March 26 corruption sentencing to 17 years, which sidelines TPP prospects. DPP holds urban strongholds but faces uphill path to overtake; full results from Central Election Commission resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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