Quoten und Vorhersagen für die Zwischenwahlen 2026

$7.2K Vol

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

96% Chance Nein

-0.5%

$7.0K Vol

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

51% Chance Nein

-12.5%

$3.2K Vol

Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

85% Chance Ja

+5.0%

$1.9K Vol

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

68% Chance Nein

+7.5%

$1.5K Vol

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

91% Chance Ja

+0.0%

$1.5K Vol

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

58% Chance Nein

-13.0%

NEU

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

98% Chance Ja

+0.6%

NEU

Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

54% Chance Ja

+1.0%

NEU

Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

67% Chance Ja

+1.0%

$4M Vol

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

75% Chance Nein

-5.0%

$7.2K Vol

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

96% Chance Nein

-0.5%

$7.0K Vol

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

51% Chance Nein

-12.5%

Größte Rennen

entscheidendste Märkte

AK Governor

54% Demokrat

+1%

$829K Vol

TX Senate

51% Demokrat

ME Senate

70% Demokrat

$468K Vol

MI Senate

59% Demokrat

+2%

$408K Vol

AK Senate

58% Demokrat

+6%

AK Governor

54% Demokrat

+1%

$829K Vol

TX Senate

51% Demokrat

ME Senate

70% Demokrat

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

Alle Rennen

565 Märkte

Rennen

Staat

Fav

Stufe

25 von 50 Märkten angezeigt

Quoten Zwischenwahlen 2026

Quoten der Zwischenwahlen 2026 — Live-Prognosemarkt-Quoten
Markt	Top-Anwärter und Nominierte	Live-Quoten
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	93%
	Steve Hilton	6%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Troy Jackson (D)	70%
	Susan Collins (R)	30%
Alaska Governor Election Winner	Tom Begich	49%
	Bernadette Wilson	26%
	Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	11%
	Treg Taylor	8%
	Click Bishop	4%
	David Bronson	3%
	Bill Walker	3%
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D)	52%
	Ken Paxton (R)	49%
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D)	61%
	Mike Rogers (R)	41%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	57%
	Dan Sullivan	42%
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner	David Crowley (D)	78%
	Tom Tiffany (R)	24%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	98%
	Aaron Baker	1%
	Dan Bilzerian	1%
Ohio Senate Election Winner	Sherrod Brown (D)	53%
	Jon Husted (R)	47%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Vivek Ramaswamy (R)	49%
	Amy Acton (D)	48%
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner	Ben Butler	31%
	Dan Green	30%
	Jorge Martinez	24%
	Thomas Chalifoux	17%
Montana Senate Election Winner	Republican	93%
	Independent	4%
	Democrat	1%
Georgia Senate Election Winner	Jon Ossoff (D)	93%
	Mike Collins (R)	7%
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner	Catalina Lauf	90%
	Jim Schwartzel	10%
	Jim Oberweis	2%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner	Roy Cooper (D)	92%
	Michael Whatley (R)	8%
FL-22 Republican Primary Winner	Belinda Keiser	33%
	Casey Askar	28%
	Michael Carbonara	28%
	David Burck	10%
FL-25 Democratic Primary Winner	Jared Moskowitz	91%
	Oliver Larkin	9%
WY-AL Republican Primary Winner	Chuck Gray	73%
	Steve Friess	23%
	Kevin Christensen	4%
	Reid Rasner	1%
FL-21 Democratic Primary Winner	Bernard Taylor	64%
	James Martin	37%
FL-02 Republican Primary Winner	Austin Rogers	83%
	Keith Gross	18%
	Evan Power	2%
	Jim Norton	1%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Lois Frankel	97%
	Victoria Doyle	2%
FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	84%
	Elijah Manley	17%
FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Yen Bailey	69%
	Amanda Green	19%
	Brice Barnes	12%
	Nic Zateslo	3%
FL-25 Republican Primary Winner	Scott Singer	79%
	Dan Franzese	9%
	George Moraitis	9%
FL-07 Republican Primary Winner	Ryan Elijah	85%
	Cory Mills	14%
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner	Democrat	96%
	Republican	3%
Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?	Mary Peltola	92%
	Sen. Dan S. Sullivan	8%
FL-14 Republican Primary Winner	Mike Beltran	72%
	Kevin Steele	25%
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner	Democrat	86%
	Republican	13%
Vermont Governor Election Winner	Republican	88%
	Democrat	9%
Maine Governor Election Winner	Democrat	97%
	Republican	3%
Illinois Senate Election Winner	Juliana Stratton (D)	97%
	Don Tracy (R)	3%
FL-11 Republican Primary Winner	Joe Strada	78%
	Carey Baker	23%
	Tim Wilkins	1%
FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner	Shevrin Jones	92%
	Oliver Gilbert	8%
	Kendrick Meek Jr.	2%
FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner	LaShonda "L.J." Holloway	87%
	Michael Kirwan	11%
	Brit Robinson	3%
New Mexico Governor Election Winner	Democrat	92%
	Republican	10%
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner	Democrat	96%
	Republican	5%
Idaho Governor Election Winner	Republican	96%
	Democrat	2%
Maryland Governor Election Winner	Democrat	96%
	Republican	3%
Kansas Governor Election Winner	Republican	65%
	Democrat	36%
FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Eric Yonce	87%
	Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera	13%
South Dakota Governor Election Winner	Republican	95%
	Democrat	5%
FL-27 Democratic Primary Winner	Eliott Rodriguez	82%
	Robin Peguero	19%
FL-05 Republican Primary Winner	John Rutherford	96%
	Mark Kaye	4%
Colorado Governor Election Winner	Democrat	96%
	Republican	4%
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner	Republican	84%
	Democrat	17%
Alabama Governor Election Winner	Republican	95%
	Democrat	4%
Arkansas Governor Election Winner	Republican	97%
	Democrat	1%
Wyoming Governor Election Winner	Republican	96%
	Democrat	2%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	26%

93%

Steve Hilton

Maine Senate Election Winner Troy Jackson (D)

70%

Susan Collins (R)

30%

Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich

49%

Bernadette Wilson

26%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Texas Senate Election Winner James Talarico (D)

52%

Ken Paxton (R)

49%

Michigan Senate Election Winner Abdul El-Sayed (D)

61%

Mike Rogers (R)

41%

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

57%

Dan Sullivan

42%

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner David Crowley (D)

78%

Tom Tiffany (R)

24%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

98%

Aaron Baker

Dan Bilzerian

Ohio Senate Election Winner Sherrod Brown (D)

53%

Jon Husted (R)

47%

Ohio Governor Election Winner Vivek Ramaswamy (R)

49%

Amy Acton (D)

48%

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner Ben Butler

Montana Senate Election Winner Republican

93%

Independent

Georgia Senate Election Winner Jon Ossoff (D)

93%

Mike Collins (R)

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner Catalina Lauf

North Carolina Senate Election Winner Roy Cooper (D)

FL-22 Republican Primary Winner Belinda Keiser

Michael Whatley (R)

FL-25 Democratic Primary Winner Jared Moskowitz

91%

Oliver Larkin

WY-AL Republican Primary Winner Chuck Gray

FL-21 Democratic Primary Winner Bernard Taylor

64%

James Martin

37%

FL-02 Republican Primary Winner Austin Rogers

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner Lois Frankel

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner Debbie Wasserman Schultz

Victoria Doyle

84%

Elijah Manley

17%

FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner Yen Bailey

FL-25 Republican Primary Winner Scott Singer

79%

Dan Franzese

George Moraitis

FL-07 Republican Primary Winner Ryan Elijah

85%

Cory Mills

14%

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner Democrat

Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?Mary Peltola

FL-14 Republican Primary Winner Mike Beltran

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan

72%

Kevin Steele

25%

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner Democrat

86%

Vermont Governor Election Winner Republican

13%

88%

Maine Governor Election Winner Democrat

Illinois Senate Election Winner Juliana Stratton (D)

FL-11 Republican Primary Winner Joe Strada

Don Tracy (R)

FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner Shevrin Jones

FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner LaShonda "L.J." Holloway

Oliver Gilbert

Kendrick Meek Jr.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner Democrat

Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner Democrat

10%

Idaho Governor Election Winner Republican

Maryland Governor Election Winner Democrat

Kansas Governor Election Winner Republican

65%

FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner Eric Yonce

36%

87%

Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera

13%

South Dakota Governor Election Winner Republican

95%

FL-27 Democratic Primary Winner Eliott Rodriguez

82%

Robin Peguero

19%

FL-05 Republican Primary Winner John Rutherford

Colorado Governor Election Winner Democrat

Mark Kaye

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner Republican

84%

Alabama Governor Election Winner Republican

17%

95%

Arkansas Governor Election Winner Republican

Wyoming Governor Election Winner Republican