Vorhersagen und Quoten für die Zwischenwahlen 2026

$6.1K Vol

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

72% Chance Nein

-5.5%

NEU

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

85% Chance Nein

+2.5%

NEU

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

92% Chance Ja

-1.7%

$3M Vol

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

82% Chance Nein

-21.0%

$6.1K Vol

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

72% Chance Nein

-5.5%

NEU

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

85% Chance Nein

+2.5%

Größte Rennen

entscheidendste Märkte

$1M Vol

AK Governor

59% Republikaner

$526K Vol

TX Senate

50% Demokrat

$552K Vol

ME Senate

64% Demokrat

-2%

$338K Vol

AK Senate

61% Demokrat

-1%

$122K Vol

IA Senate

59% Republikaner

$1M Vol

AK Governor

59% Republikaner

$526K Vol

TX Senate

50% Demokrat

$552K Vol

ME Senate

64% Demokrat

-2%

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

Alle Rennen

519 Märkte

Rennen

Staat

Fav

Stufe

25 von 50 Märkten angezeigt

Quoten Zwischenwahlen 2026

Quoten der Zwischenwahlen 2026 — Live-Prognosemarkt-Quoten
Markt	Top-Anwärter und Nominierte	Live-Quoten
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	88%
	Steve Hilton	9%
Alaska Governor Election Winner	Tom Begich	30%
	Bernadette Wilson	25%
	Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	16%
	Treg Taylor	6%
	David Bronson	5%
	Click Bishop	4%
	Bill Walker	4%
	Matt Claman	2%
	Shelley Hughes	1%
	Lisa Murkowski	1%
	Gregg Brelsford	1%
	Destry J. Payne Sr.	1%
	Nancy Dahlstrom	1%
	Lesil McGuire	1%
	Jessica Faircloth	1%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	65%
	Republican	36%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	56%
	James Talarico (D)	41%
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jay Feely	68%
	Joseph Chaplik	37%
	Brandon Sowers	23%
	Matt Gress	9%
	John Trobough	9%
	Gina Swoboda	6%
	Muchelle Ugenti-Rita	5%
	Kari Lake	4%
	Derrick Gallego	2%
	Todd Graham	1%
	Paul Reevs	1%
	Jason Duey	1%
	Kaitlin Purrington	1%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner	Micah Lasher	64%
	Alex Bores	37%
	Jack Schlossberg	1%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	94%
	Dan Bilzerian	3%
Michigan Governor Election Winner	Democrat	83%
	Republican	15%
	Independent	3%
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Claire Valdez	79%
	Antonio Reynoso	20%
	Julie Won	1%
OK-01 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Tedford	83%
	Jackson Lahmeyer	14%
	Nathan Butterfield	3%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Republican	53%
	Democrat	42%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner	Roy Cooper (D)	84%
	Michael Whatley (R)	16%
NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner	Cait Conley	78%
	Beth Davidson	22%
	Effie Phillips-Staley	1%
	Peter Chatzky	1%
	Jessica Reinmann	1%
	John Sullivan	1%
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Lamb	50%
	Travis Grantham	18%
	Jay Feely	4%
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ben McAdams	87%
	Nate Blouin	13%
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Adriano Espaillat	53%
	Darializa Avila Chevalier	46%
Arizona Governor Election Winner	Democrat	79%
	Republican	23%
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner	Austin Magee	28%
	Blake Miguez	22%
	Samuel Wyatt	21%
	Michael Mebruer	11%
NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner	Ritchie Torres	97%
	Michael Blake	2%
	Dalourny Nemorin	1%
MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Adrian Boafo	73%
	Harry Dunn	12%
	Quincy Bareebe	7%
	Dave Sundberg	6%
	Walter Kirkland	4%
	Heather Luper	3%
	Rushern Baker III	3%
	Reuben Collins II	3%
	Alexis Solis	1%
	Harry Jarin	1%
	Jerry Lightfoot	1%
	Tracy Starr	1%
	Wala Blegay	1%
	Elldwnia English	1%
	Harold Tolbert	1%
	Nicole Williams	1%
	Terry Jackson	1%
Georgia Governor Election Winner	Democrat	56%
	Republican	43%
South Carolina Senate Election Winner	Republican	82%
	Democrat	20%
Kansas Senate Election Winner	Republican	81%
	Democrat	18%
Georgia Senate Election Winner	Democrat	85%
	Republican	14%
CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Manny Rutinel	72%
	Shannon Bird	28%
	John Szemler	1%
	Amie Baca-Oehlert	1%
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Ilhan Omar	88%
	Latonya Reeves	9%
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner	John Cowan	99%
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Donavan McKinney	51%
	Shri Thanedar	40%
	Nazmul Hassan	5%
	Anthony Carbonaro	3%
	Shelby Campbell	1%
MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner	April McClain Delaney	82%
	David Trone	13%
Florida Governor Election Winner	Republican	77%
	Democrat	23%
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner	Howard Steven Rance	39%
	Jorge Malavet	35%
	Thomas Chalifoux	34%
	Justin Story	12%
	Marcus Carter	9%
MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Bridget Brink	81%
	Matt Maasdam	11%
	William Lawrence	9%
	Josh Cowen	2%
	Elyon Badger	2%
	Alexandra Prieditis	1%
	Muhammad Salman Rais	1%
MI-10 Republican Primary Winner	Mike Bouchard	69%
	Robert Lulgjuraj	13%
	Casey Armitage	4%
	Justin Kirk	1%
	Steven Elliott	1%
CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Diana DeGette	64%
	Melat Kiros	32%
	Carter Hanson	8%
	Christopher Oldfield	1%
	Tiffany Rodgers	1%
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner	Justin Pearson	88%
	DeVante Hill	10%
	Steve Cohen	2%
CO-03 Republican Primary Winner	Jeff Hurd	98%
	Hope Scheppelman	1%
OK-03 Republican Primary Winner	Frank Lucas	98%
	Wade Burleson	1%
GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Amanda Hollowell	94%
	Joyce Marie Griggs	12%
	Randy Zurcher	3%
	Defonsio Daniels	2%
	Patrick Wilver	2%
	Michael McCord	2%
	Joseph Palimeno	1%
NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Grace Meng	89%
	Charles Park	10%
	Yan Xiong	1%
SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Nancy Lacore	49%
	Ben Frasier	41%
	Mac Deford	21%
	Max Diaz	8%
	Francina Dantzler	1%
	Matt Fulmer	1%
MO-06 Republican Primary Winner	Chris Stigall	68%
	Nathan Willett	20%
	Cody Oshel	15%
	James Ingram	9%
	Nathanael Schultz	5%
	Gena Ross	2%
OK-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Mitchell Jacob	74%
	Jeff Pixley	28%
NY-21 Republican Primary Winner	Anthony Constantino	81%
	Robert Smullen	20%
UT-03 Republican Primary Winner	Celeste Maloy	85%
	Phil Lyman	17%
MD-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Schwartz	93%
	Victor Guidice	2%
	George Walsh	1%
	Randi White	1%
MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner	Sarah Elfreth	87%
	Austin Dyches	7%
	Robert Morrison	6%
	Sean Hammond	3%
	Jennifer Cross	2%
UT-02 Republican Primary Winner	Blake Moore	92%
	Karianne Lisonbee	8%
MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Glenn Ivey	99%
	Jonathan White	50%
	Jakeya Johnson	50%
	Shavonne Hedgepeth	48%
	Joseph Gomes	46%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory	Lasher <5%	28%
	Lasher 5–10%	27%
	Bores <5%	25%
	Lasher 10–15%	13%
	Schlossberg Wins	7%
	Bores 5%+	5%
	Lasher 15%+	5%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	19%

88%

Steve Hilton

Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich

30%

Bernadette Wilson

25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

65%

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

36%

56%

James Talarico (D)

41%

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner Jay Feely

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner Micah Lasher

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

94%

Dan Bilzerian

Michigan Governor Election Winner Democrat

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner Claire Valdez

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner Mark Tedford

Ohio Governor Election Winner Republican

53%

North Carolina Senate Election Winner Roy Cooper (D)

42%

84%

Michael Whatley (R)

16%

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner Cait Conley

78%

Beth Davidson

22%

Effie Phillips-Staley

Peter Chatzky

Jessica Reinmann

John Sullivan

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner Mark Lamb

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner Ben McAdams

87%

Nate Blouin

13%

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner Adriano Espaillat

53%

Darializa Avila Chevalier

46%

Arizona Governor Election Winner Democrat

79%

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner Austin Magee

23%

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner Ritchie Torres

97%

Michael Blake

Dalourny Nemorin

MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner Adrian Boafo

Georgia Governor Election Winner Democrat

56%

South Carolina Senate Election Winner Republican

43%

82%

Kansas Senate Election Winner Republican

20%

81%

Georgia Senate Election Winner Democrat

18%

85%

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner Manny Rutinel

14%

MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner Ilhan Omar

88%

Latonya Reeves

GA-11 Republican Primary Winner John Cowan

99%

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner Donavan McKinney

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner April McClain Delaney

82%

David Trone

13%

Florida Governor Election Winner Republican

77%