Vorhersagen und Quoten für die Zwischenwahlen 2026

$6.1K Vol

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

66% Chance Nein

+6.0%

NEU

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

88% Chance Nein

+1.5%

NEU

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

94% Chance Ja

-0.3%

$3M Vol

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

82% Chance Nein

-21.5%

$6.1K Vol

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

66% Chance Nein

+6.0%

NEU

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

88% Chance Nein

+1.5%

Größte Rennen

entscheidendste Märkte

$1M Vol

AK Governor

59% Republikaner

$526K Vol

TX Senate

50% Demokrat

$552K Vol

ME Senate

64% Demokrat

-2%

$338K Vol

AK Senate

61% Demokrat

$122K Vol

IA Senate

59% Republikaner

$1M Vol

AK Governor

59% Republikaner

$526K Vol

TX Senate

50% Demokrat

$552K Vol

ME Senate

64% Demokrat

-2%

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

Alle Rennen

519 Märkte

Rennen

Staat

Fav

Stufe

25 von 50 Märkten angezeigt

Quoten Zwischenwahlen 2026

Quoten der Zwischenwahlen 2026 — Live-Prognosemarkt-Quoten
Markt	Top-Anwärter und Nominierte	Live-Quoten
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	88%
	Steve Hilton	9%
Alaska Governor Election Winner	Tom Begich	30%
	Bernadette Wilson	25%
	Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	16%
	Treg Taylor	7%
	David Bronson	5%
	Click Bishop	4%
	Bill Walker	4%
	Matt Claman	2%
	Shelley Hughes	1%
	Lisa Murkowski	1%
	Gregg Brelsford	1%
	Destry J. Payne Sr.	1%
	Nancy Dahlstrom	1%
	Lesil McGuire	1%
	Jessica Faircloth	1%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	65%
	Republican	36%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	56%
	James Talarico (D)	41%
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jay Feely	66%
	Joseph Chaplik	32%
	John Trobough	11%
	Gina Swoboda	6%
	Matt Gress	5%
	Brandon Sowers	4%
	Kari Lake	3%
	Todd Graham	1%
	Derrick Gallego	1%
	Muchelle Ugenti-Rita	1%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner	Micah Lasher	65%
	Alex Bores	37%
	Jack Schlossberg	1%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	94%
	Dan Bilzerian	3%
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Claire Valdez	79%
	Antonio Reynoso	20%
OK-01 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Tedford	78%
	Jackson Lahmeyer	20%
	Nathan Butterfield	3%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Republican	53%
	Democrat	45%
NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner	Cait Conley	78%
	Beth Davidson	22%
	Effie Phillips-Staley	1%
	Jessica Reinmann	1%
	John Sullivan	1%
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ben McAdams	87%
	Nate Blouin	13%
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Lamb	47%
	Travis Grantham	7%
	Jay Feely	2%
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Adriano Espaillat	53%
	Darializa Avila Chevalier	46%
Arizona Governor Election Winner	Democrat	78%
	Republican	23%
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner	Michael Echols	7%
	Blake Miguez	6%
	Austin Magee	3%
	Michael Mebruer	3%
	Samuel Wyatt	3%
NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner	Ritchie Torres	97%
	Michael Blake	2%
	Dalourny Nemorin	1%
MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Adrian Boafo	73%
	Harry Dunn	12%
	Quincy Bareebe	7%
	Heather Luper	4%
	Dave Sundberg	3%
	Rushern Baker III	3%
	Walter Kirkland	2%
	Jerry Lightfoot	1%
	Harold Tolbert	1%
	Reuben Collins II	1%
	Terry Jackson	1%
Georgia Governor Election Winner	Democrat	56%
	Republican	44%
NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Laura Gillen	97%
South Carolina Senate Election Winner	Republican	82%
	Democrat	20%
MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner	April McClain Delaney	85%
	David Trone	14%
ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Joe Baldacci	61%
	Matthew Dunlap	53%
	Jordan Wood	27%
	Paige Loud	3%
CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Manny Rutinel	73%
	Shannon Bird	28%
	John Szemler	1%
	Amie Baca-Oehlert	1%
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Ilhan Omar	90%
	Latonya Reeves	8%
Minnesota Senate Election Winner	Democrat	90%
	Republican	11%
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Donavan McKinney	62%
	Shri Thanedar	33%
	Shelby Campbell	4%
	Anthony Carbonaro	2%
	Nazmul Hassan	1%
Florida Governor Election Winner	Republican	77%
	Democrat	23%
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner	Thomas Chalifoux	39%
	Howard Steven Rance	35%
	Justin Story	11%
	Jorge Malavet	10%
	Marcus Carter	10%
MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Bridget Brink	81%
	Matt Maasdam	11%
	William Lawrence	8%
	Josh Cowen	2%
	Elyon Badger	2%
	Alexandra Prieditis	1%
	Muhammad Salman Rais	1%
NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Stefany Shaheen	76%
	Maura Sullivan	21%
	Heath Howard	16%
	Carleigh Beriont	4%
MI-10 Republican Primary Winner	Mike Bouchard	83%
	Robert Lulgjuraj	16%
	Casey Armitage	4%
	Justin Kirk	1%
	Steven Elliott	1%
CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Diana DeGette	62%
	Melat Kiros	36%
	Carter Hanson	4%
	Christopher Oldfield	1%
	Tiffany Rodgers	1%
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner	Justin Pearson	88%
	DeVante Hill	8%
	Steve Cohen	2%
GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Amanda Hollowell	98%
CO-03 Republican Primary Winner	Jeff Hurd	97%
	Hope Scheppelman	2%
NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Grace Meng	90%
	Charles Park	10%
SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Nancy Lacore	74%
	Mac Deford	23%
	Ben Frasier	14%
	Max Diaz	8%
	Francina Dantzler	1%
	Matt Fulmer	1%
UT-03 Republican Primary Winner	Celeste Maloy	93%
	Phil Lyman	7%
MO-06 Republican Primary Winner	Chris Stigall	68%
	Cody Oshel	18%
	Nathan Willett	10%
	James Ingram	9%
	Nathanael Schultz	4%
	Gena Ross	2%
OK-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Mitchell Jacob	72%
	Jeff Pixley	13%
MD-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Schwartz	93%
	Victor Guidice	3%
	Randi White	2%
	George Walsh	1%
MD-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Kweisi Mfume	98%
	Mark Conway	1%
	Theo Gillespie	1%
UT-02 Republican Primary Winner	Blake Moore	93%
	Karianne Lisonbee	7%
MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner	Sarah Elfreth	93%
	Sean Hammond	4%
	Robert Morrison	3%
	Jennifer Cross	3%
	Austin Dyches	3%
NY-21 Republican Primary Winner	Anthony Constantino	77%
	Robert Smullen	16%
DC Delegate Democratic Primary Winner	Robert White	85%
	Brooke Pinto	15%
	Trent Holbrook	1%
	Gregory Jaczko	1%
	Kinney Zalesne	1%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory	Lasher <5%	29%
	Lasher 5–10%	26%
	Bores <5%	25%
	Lasher 10–15%	13%
	Schlossberg Wins	6%
	Bores 5%+	5%
	Lasher 15%+	4%
MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Glenn Ivey	99%
	Jonathan White	50%
	Jakeya Johnson	50%
	Shavonne Hedgepeth	48%
	Joseph Gomes	46%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	18%

88%

Steve Hilton

Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich

30%

Bernadette Wilson

25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

65%

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

36%

56%

James Talarico (D)

41%

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner Jay Feely

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner Micah Lasher

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

94%

Dan Bilzerian

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner Claire Valdez

79%

Antonio Reynoso

20%

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner Mark Tedford

Ohio Governor Election Winner Republican

53%

Democrat

45%

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner Cait Conley

78%

Beth Davidson

22%

Effie Phillips-Staley

Jessica Reinmann

John Sullivan

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner Ben McAdams

87%

Nate Blouin

13%

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner Mark Lamb

47%

Travis Grantham

Jay Feely

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner Adriano Espaillat

53%

Darializa Avila Chevalier

46%

Arizona Governor Election Winner Democrat

78%

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner Michael Echols

23%

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner Ritchie Torres

97%

Michael Blake

Dalourny Nemorin

MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner Adrian Boafo

Georgia Governor Election Winner Democrat

56%

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner Laura Gillen

44%

97%

South Carolina Senate Election Winner Republican

82%

Democrat

20%

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner April McClain Delaney

85%

David Trone

14%

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner Joe Baldacci

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner Manny Rutinel

MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner Ilhan Omar

90%

Latonya Reeves

Minnesota Senate Election Winner Democrat

90%