Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's bid for a fifth term anchors trader consensus at 80% odds for a Republican general election victory in deep-red South Carolina, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1998 and the state delivered 55% for Trump in 2024. Recent polls, including a March survey showing Graham at 41% in the GOP primary amid challenges from Mark Lynch (21%) and Paul Dans (11%), highlight primary vulnerability and a potential June 9 runoff, but do not erode the party's dominance. The Democratic primary field remains crowded with candidates like Annie Andrews, lacking a clear frontrunner, as candidate filing closed March 30 ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$13,289 Vol.
$13,289 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republikaner
80%
Demokrat
20%
$13,289 Vol.
$13,289 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republikaner
$5,439 Vol.
80%
Demokrat
$7,850 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's bid for a fifth term anchors trader consensus at 80% odds for a Republican general election victory in deep-red South Carolina, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1998 and the state delivered 55% for Trump in 2024. Recent polls, including a March survey showing Graham at 41% in the GOP primary amid challenges from Mark Lynch (21%) and Paul Dans (11%), highlight primary vulnerability and a potential June 9 runoff, but do not erode the party's dominance. The Democratic primary field remains crowded with candidates like Annie Andrews, lacking a clear frontrunner, as candidate filing closed March 30 ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$13,289Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's bid for a fifth term anchors trader consensus at 80% odds for a Republican general election victory in deep-red South Carolina, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1998 and the state delivered 55% for Trump in 2024. Recent polls, including a March survey showing Graham at 41% in the GOP primary amid challenges from Mark Lynch (21%) and Paul Dans (11%), highlight primary vulnerability and a potential June 9 runoff, but do not erode the party's dominance. The Democratic primary field remains crowded with candidates like Annie Andrews, lacking a clear frontrunner, as candidate filing closed March 30 ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$13,289Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's bid for a fifth term anchors trader consensus at 80% odds for a Republican general election victory in deep-red South Carolina, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1998 and the state delivered 55% for Trump in 2024. Recent polls, including a March survey showing Graham at 41% in the GOP primary amid challenges from Mark Lynch (21%) and Paul Dans (11%), highlight primary vulnerability and a potential June 9 runoff, but do not erode the party's dominance. The Democratic primary field remains crowded with candidates like Annie Andrews, lacking a clear frontrunner, as candidate filing closed March 30 ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen