Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% implied probability to win Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+24 partisan voting index, incumbent Rep. David Taylor's strong 73.6% victory margin in 2024, and his fundraising lead with over $400,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. Ohio's new congressional map, approved in October 2025, maintained the deep Republican lean, with 2024 presidential results showing 69.8% for the GOP nominee. Taylor faces minimal primary opposition from Bob Carr on May 5, while Democrats Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson compete in their primary amid safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Realistic challenges include a GOP primary upset, scandal hitting Taylor, or a national Democratic midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertOH-02 Wahlsieger
OH-02 Wahlsieger
$21,441 Vol.
$21,441 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
92%
Demokratische Partei
7%
$21,441 Vol.
$21,441 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
$0 Vol.
92%
Demokratische Partei
$21,441 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% implied probability to win Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+24 partisan voting index, incumbent Rep. David Taylor's strong 73.6% victory margin in 2024, and his fundraising lead with over $400,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. Ohio's new congressional map, approved in October 2025, maintained the deep Republican lean, with 2024 presidential results showing 69.8% for the GOP nominee. Taylor faces minimal primary opposition from Bob Carr on May 5, while Democrats Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson compete in their primary amid safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Realistic challenges include a GOP primary upset, scandal hitting Taylor, or a national Democratic midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$21,441Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% implied probability to win Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+24 partisan voting index, incumbent Rep. David Taylor's strong 73.6% victory margin in 2024, and his fundraising lead with over $400,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. Ohio's new congressional map, approved in October 2025, maintained the deep Republican lean, with 2024 presidential results showing 69.8% for the GOP nominee. Taylor faces minimal primary opposition from Bob Carr on May 5, while Democrats Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson compete in their primary amid safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Realistic challenges include a GOP primary upset, scandal hitting Taylor, or a national Democratic midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,441Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% implied probability to win Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+24 partisan voting index, incumbent Rep. David Taylor's strong 73.6% victory margin in 2024, and his fundraising lead with over $400,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. Ohio's new congressional map, approved in October 2025, maintained the deep Republican lean, with 2024 presidential results showing 69.8% for the GOP nominee. Taylor faces minimal primary opposition from Bob Carr on May 5, while Democrats Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson compete in their primary amid safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Realistic challenges include a GOP primary upset, scandal hitting Taylor, or a national Democratic midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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