Incumbent Republican John Joyce's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+23 partisan lean, drives trader consensus toward a 92.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November 3, 2026 general election. Joyce, who won 74% in 2024 against Democrat Beth Farnham, recently filed nominating petitions on March 18 with over 4,000 signatures, boasts $3.3 million cash-on-hand versus Farnham's $5,600, and faces no serious primary challengers ahead of the May 19 primaries. This reflects historical base rates of unopposed or landslide victories in one of the nation's most Republican districts. Late-breaking scenarios like a Joyce health issue, scandal, or unexpected primary upset could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPA-13 Wahlsieger
PA-13 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
93%
Demokratische Partei
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
$0 Vol.
93%
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Joyce's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+23 partisan lean, drives trader consensus toward a 92.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November 3, 2026 general election. Joyce, who won 74% in 2024 against Democrat Beth Farnham, recently filed nominating petitions on March 18 with over 4,000 signatures, boasts $3.3 million cash-on-hand versus Farnham's $5,600, and faces no serious primary challengers ahead of the May 19 primaries. This reflects historical base rates of unopposed or landslide victories in one of the nation's most Republican districts. Late-breaking scenarios like a Joyce health issue, scandal, or unexpected primary upset could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Joyce's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+23 partisan lean, drives trader consensus toward a 92.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November 3, 2026 general election. Joyce, who won 74% in 2024 against Democrat Beth Farnham, recently filed nominating petitions on March 18 with over 4,000 signatures, boasts $3.3 million cash-on-hand versus Farnham's $5,600, and faces no serious primary challengers ahead of the May 19 primaries. This reflects historical base rates of unopposed or landslide victories in one of the nation's most Republican districts. Late-breaking scenarios like a Joyce health issue, scandal, or unexpected primary upset could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Joyce's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+23 partisan lean, drives trader consensus toward a 92.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November 3, 2026 general election. Joyce, who won 74% in 2024 against Democrat Beth Farnham, recently filed nominating petitions on March 18 with over 4,000 signatures, boasts $3.3 million cash-on-hand versus Farnham's $5,600, and faces no serious primary challengers ahead of the May 19 primaries. This reflects historical base rates of unopposed or landslide victories in one of the nation's most Republican districts. Late-breaking scenarios like a Joyce health issue, scandal, or unexpected primary upset could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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