Chuck Hubbard holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the NC-05 House seat because unofficial results from the November 3 election show him ahead of longtime incumbent Virginia Foxx by just 99 votes out of roughly 285,500 cast, with all precincts reported. The district's urban precincts in Guilford County delivered strong Democratic margins that offset Foxx's rural strength, flipping a seat she had held since 2005 and won by double digits in 2024. Remaining provisional ballots, late military and overseas absentee ballots, and the possibility of a recount if the final margin stays under one percent introduce some uncertainty, yet traders assign Hubbard a 94.8 percent implied probability of victory. Foxx would need an unusually lopsided distribution of the outstanding ballots or a successful recount challenge to reverse the outcome.