Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination in Tennessee’s 6th Congressional District primary by defeating former U.S. Representative Van Hilleary and other challengers, while Democrat Mike Croley prevailed in a crowded Democratic field. The open seat, vacated by John Rose, sits in a district redrawn in 2026 that maintains a strong Republican tilt based on recent presidential voting patterns. Garrett’s campaign has drawn endorsements from President Trump and House Republican leadership along with a substantial fundraising edge, while independent candidates split limited remaining support. These elements underpin the current trader consensus favoring Garrett. A major unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp turnout shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.