Joe Wilson maintains a commanding 98.9% implied probability in the SC-02 House election market due to his long incumbency since 2001, the district's consistent Republican tilt shown by prior presidential margins, and a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa. Election results from November 3 show Wilson holding a narrow lead of roughly 3,000 votes after 99% of precincts reported, consistent with the seat's partisan baseline despite an unusually competitive outcome. Trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of reversal once final certification occurs. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a successful recount narrowing or flipping the margin, unresolved legal challenges to ballots, or delays in official certification by state authorities.