South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, with the party’s 80% implied probability reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, including a 14-point Trump margin in 2024 and Cook Political Report’s Solid R rating. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces primary challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond on June 9, while multiple Democrats including Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, and Daniel Shrief compete in their primary the same day; these contests are unlikely to alter the general election outlook given the district’s voting history. Ongoing state redistricting discussions following the Supreme Court’s Louisiana decision have not shifted SC-02’s competitive balance, keeping Democratic chances near 20%. Traders price the race accordingly, with little movement expected until after the primaries resolve candidate fields.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSC-02 Wahlsieger
SC-02 Wahlsieger
$30,179 Vol.
$30,179 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
80%
Demokratische Partei
21%
$30,179 Vol.
$30,179 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$10,400 Vol.
80%
Demokratische Partei
$19,779 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, with the party’s 80% implied probability reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, including a 14-point Trump margin in 2024 and Cook Political Report’s Solid R rating. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces primary challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond on June 9, while multiple Democrats including Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, and Daniel Shrief compete in their primary the same day; these contests are unlikely to alter the general election outlook given the district’s voting history. Ongoing state redistricting discussions following the Supreme Court’s Louisiana decision have not shifted SC-02’s competitive balance, keeping Democratic chances near 20%. Traders price the race accordingly, with little movement expected until after the primaries resolve candidate fields.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$30,179Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, with the party’s 80% implied probability reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, including a 14-point Trump margin in 2024 and Cook Political Report’s Solid R rating. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces primary challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond on June 9, while multiple Democrats including Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, and Daniel Shrief compete in their primary the same day; these contests are unlikely to alter the general election outlook given the district’s voting history. Ongoing state redistricting discussions following the Supreme Court’s Louisiana decision have not shifted SC-02’s competitive balance, keeping Democratic chances near 20%. Traders price the race accordingly, with little movement expected until after the primaries resolve candidate fields.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$30,179Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, with the party’s 80% implied probability reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, including a 14-point Trump margin in 2024 and Cook Political Report’s Solid R rating. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces primary challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond on June 9, while multiple Democrats including Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, and Daniel Shrief compete in their primary the same day; these contests are unlikely to alter the general election outlook given the district’s voting history. Ongoing state redistricting discussions following the Supreme Court’s Louisiana decision have not shifted SC-02’s competitive balance, keeping Democratic chances near 20%. Traders price the race accordingly, with little movement expected until after the primaries resolve candidate fields.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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