New York’s 14th congressional district, covering parts of the Bronx and Queens, carries a D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces a June 23 Democratic primary against limited challengers, including a rematch with Marty Dolan, while Republican primary contenders such as Tina Forte have historically trailed by wide margins. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning with the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. A shift in odds would require an unexpected primary upset, major late-cycle scandal, or sharply altered turnout that overcomes the district’s established partisan baseline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-14 Wahlsieger
NY-14 Wahlsieger
$39,924 Vol.
$39,924 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
7%
$39,924 Vol.
$39,924 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$28,262 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$11,662 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 14th congressional district, covering parts of the Bronx and Queens, carries a D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces a June 23 Democratic primary against limited challengers, including a rematch with Marty Dolan, while Republican primary contenders such as Tina Forte have historically trailed by wide margins. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning with the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. A shift in odds would require an unexpected primary upset, major late-cycle scandal, or sharply altered turnout that overcomes the district’s established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$39,924Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 14th congressional district, covering parts of the Bronx and Queens, carries a D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces a June 23 Democratic primary against limited challengers, including a rematch with Marty Dolan, while Republican primary contenders such as Tina Forte have historically trailed by wide margins. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning with the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. A shift in odds would require an unexpected primary upset, major late-cycle scandal, or sharply altered turnout that overcomes the district’s established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$39,924Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 14th congressional district, covering parts of the Bronx and Queens, carries a D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces a June 23 Democratic primary against limited challengers, including a rematch with Marty Dolan, while Republican primary contenders such as Tina Forte have historically trailed by wide margins. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning with the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. A shift in odds would require an unexpected primary upset, major late-cycle scandal, or sharply altered turnout that overcomes the district’s established partisan baseline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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