Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive March 3 primary victory, capturing 60% against nine challengers in Texas's 31st Congressional District, has solidified trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party nominee ahead of the November general election. This Solid Republican seat, spanning Central Texas suburbs north of Austin, has been GOP-held since Carter's 2003 debut, bolstered by consistent partisan performance and incumbency advantages like name recognition and fundraising leads. Democrat Justin Early secured the nomination, but the district's underlying Republican lean—evident in recent cycles—positions a steep uphill battle, with traders pricing low 14% odds absent national wave shifts, scandals, or turnout surges in battleground areas.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTX-31 Wahlsieger
TX-31 Wahlsieger
$12,663 Vol.
$12,663 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
85%
Demokratische Partei
14%
$12,663 Vol.
$12,663 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$7,437 Vol.
85%
Demokratische Partei
$5,226 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive March 3 primary victory, capturing 60% against nine challengers in Texas's 31st Congressional District, has solidified trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party nominee ahead of the November general election. This Solid Republican seat, spanning Central Texas suburbs north of Austin, has been GOP-held since Carter's 2003 debut, bolstered by consistent partisan performance and incumbency advantages like name recognition and fundraising leads. Democrat Justin Early secured the nomination, but the district's underlying Republican lean—evident in recent cycles—positions a steep uphill battle, with traders pricing low 14% odds absent national wave shifts, scandals, or turnout surges in battleground areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$12,663Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive March 3 primary victory, capturing 60% against nine challengers in Texas's 31st Congressional District, has solidified trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party nominee ahead of the November general election. This Solid Republican seat, spanning Central Texas suburbs north of Austin, has been GOP-held since Carter's 2003 debut, bolstered by consistent partisan performance and incumbency advantages like name recognition and fundraising leads. Democrat Justin Early secured the nomination, but the district's underlying Republican lean—evident in recent cycles—positions a steep uphill battle, with traders pricing low 14% odds absent national wave shifts, scandals, or turnout surges in battleground areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,663Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive March 3 primary victory, capturing 60% against nine challengers in Texas's 31st Congressional District, has solidified trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party nominee ahead of the November general election. This Solid Republican seat, spanning Central Texas suburbs north of Austin, has been GOP-held since Carter's 2003 debut, bolstered by consistent partisan performance and incumbency advantages like name recognition and fundraising leads. Democrat Justin Early secured the nomination, but the district's underlying Republican lean—evident in recent cycles—positions a steep uphill battle, with traders pricing low 14% odds absent national wave shifts, scandals, or turnout surges in battleground areas.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen