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Politik·Mittlerer Osten

Wer wird nach der nächsten Wahl der nächste Premierminister Israels?

Market icon
Politik·Mittlerer Osten

Wer wird nach der nächsten Wahl der nächste Premierminister Israels?

Benjamin Netanjahu 46%

Naftali Bennett 23%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Gadi Eizenkot 18.1%

Yariv Levin 4.4%

Polymarket

$4,126,975 Vol.

Benjamin Netanjahu 46%

Naftali Bennett 23%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Gadi Eizenkot 18.1%

Yariv Levin 4.4%

Polymarket

$4,126,975 Vol.

Benjamin Netanjahu

$454,756 Vol.

46%

Naftali Bennett

$785,897 Vol.

23%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Gadi Eizenkot

$494,506 Vol.

18%

Yariv Levin

$110,844 Vol.

4%

Yair Lapid

$297,469 Vol.

3%

Benny Gantz

$177,515 Vol.

2%

Avigdor Lieberman

$343,581 Vol.

1%

Yair Golan

$253,218 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$109,882 Vol.

1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$372,176 Vol.

1%

Yossi Cohen

$353,027 Vol.

1%

Ayelet Shaked

$67,743 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$256,615 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$49,745 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Benjamin Netanyahu at 46% implied probability to remain Prime Minister after the next Knesset election, by October 27, 2026, reflecting recent polls where Likud holds steady around 28 seats amid ongoing Iran war uncertainties and no coalition gains. Naftali Bennett's 22.5% follows his February party relaunch and reform pledges, but slipped after March surveys showed his list trailing. Gadi Eisenkot surged to 18.1% as polls from March 19 onward positioned his Yashar party ahead of Bennett for the first time, bolstered by his former IDF chief credentials and recent rejection of a Bennett unity bid. Lower odds for Yair Lapid, Benny Gantz, and others stem from diminished opposition bloc cohesion, with coalition stability and potential snap election talks as key upcoming catalysts.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,126,975
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Benjamin Netanyahu at 46% implied probability to remain Prime Minister after the next Knesset election, by October 27, 2026, reflecting recent polls where Likud holds steady around 28 seats amid ongoing Iran war uncertainties and no coalition gains. Naftali Bennett's 22.5% follows his February party relaunch and reform pledges, but slipped after March surveys showed his list trailing. Gadi Eisenkot surged to 18.1% as polls from March 19 onward positioned his Yashar party ahead of Bennett for the first time, bolstered by his former IDF chief credentials and recent rejection of a Bennett unity bid. Lower odds for Yair Lapid, Benny Gantz, and others stem from diminished opposition bloc cohesion, with coalition stability and potential snap election talks as key upcoming catalysts.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,126,975
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer wird nach der nächsten Wahl der nächste Premierminister Israels?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 14 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Benjamin Netanjahu" mit 46%, gefolgt von „Naftali Bennett" mit 23%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 46¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 46% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wer wird nach der nächsten Wahl der nächste Premierminister Israels?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $4.1 million generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 15, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wer wird nach der nächsten Wahl der nächste Premierminister Israels?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 14 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer wird nach der nächsten Wahl der nächste Premierminister Israels?" ist „Benjamin Netanjahu" mit 46%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 46% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Naftali Bennett" mit 23%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wer wird nach der nächsten Wahl der nächste Premierminister Israels?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.