Recent US-Iran negotiations, including a June 15, 2026, memorandum of understanding extending a ceasefire for 60 days to address the nuclear program, have shaped trader views on an agreement by year-end. Direct and indirect talks since early 2026 have centered on limits to uranium enrichment, dilution or removal of Iran's highly enriched stockpile, IAEA verification, and sanctions relief, with US positions emphasizing zero or sharply restricted enrichment and Iranian proposals focusing on domestic down-blending plus continued low-level activity for civilian needs. Progress reports from both sides on ceasing hostilities and reopening the Strait of Hormuz have supported the current implied probability, though core enrichment disputes remain unresolved and subject to further diplomacy within the extended timeline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$571,507 Vol.
$571,507 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$571,507 Vol.
$571,507 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran negotiations, including a June 15, 2026, memorandum of understanding extending a ceasefire for 60 days to address the nuclear program, have shaped trader views on an agreement by year-end. Direct and indirect talks since early 2026 have centered on limits to uranium enrichment, dilution or removal of Iran's highly enriched stockpile, IAEA verification, and sanctions relief, with US positions emphasizing zero or sharply restricted enrichment and Iranian proposals focusing on domestic down-blending plus continued low-level activity for civilian needs. Progress reports from both sides on ceasing hostilities and reopening the Strait of Hormuz have supported the current implied probability, though core enrichment disputes remain unresolved and subject to further diplomacy within the extended timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volumen
$571,507Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran negotiations, including a June 15, 2026, memorandum of understanding extending a ceasefire for 60 days to address the nuclear program, have shaped trader views on an agreement by year-end. Direct and indirect talks since early 2026 have centered on limits to uranium enrichment, dilution or removal of Iran's highly enriched stockpile, IAEA verification, and sanctions relief, with US positions emphasizing zero or sharply restricted enrichment and Iranian proposals focusing on domestic down-blending plus continued low-level activity for civilian needs. Progress reports from both sides on ceasing hostilities and reopening the Strait of Hormuz have supported the current implied probability, though core enrichment disputes remain unresolved and subject to further diplomacy within the extended timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$571,507Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran negotiations, including a June 15, 2026, memorandum of understanding extending a ceasefire for 60 days to address the nuclear program, have shaped trader views on an agreement by year-end. Direct and indirect talks since early 2026 have centered on limits to uranium enrichment, dilution or removal of Iran's highly enriched stockpile, IAEA verification, and sanctions relief, with US positions emphasizing zero or sharply restricted enrichment and Iranian proposals focusing on domestic down-blending plus continued low-level activity for civilian needs. Progress reports from both sides on ceasing hostilities and reopening the Strait of Hormuz have supported the current implied probability, though core enrichment disputes remain unresolved and subject to further diplomacy within the extended timeline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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