**Traders assign an 78% probability to "No" on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled US-Iran nuclear talks and Iran's consistent refusal to relinquish domestic enrichment capabilities.** Negotiations mediated by Oman and others since early 2026 have produced limited progress on core issues including enrichment limits, stockpile disposal, verification, and sanctions relief, with recent statements indicating Iran views any end to enrichment on its soil as a red line. IAEA reports and June 2026 statements highlight ongoing cooperation gaps and calls for renewed inspections of enriched material, while intermittent strikes, a fragile ceasefire, and Iran's linkage of talks to Lebanon ceasefires and economic concessions have further complicated timelines. With the deadline less than three weeks away and no breakthrough evident, market pricing aligns with the absence of verifiable diplomatic momentum toward such an agreement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertStimmt der Iran zu, die Anreicherung von Uran bis zum 30. Juni zu beenden?
Stimmt der Iran zu, die Anreicherung von Uran bis zum 30. Juni zu beenden?
Ja
$2,324,232 Vol.
$2,324,232 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Ja
$2,324,232 Vol.
$2,324,232 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. **Traders assign an 78% probability to "No" on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled US-Iran nuclear talks and Iran's consistent refusal to relinquish domestic enrichment capabilities.**
Negotiations mediated by Oman and others since early 2026 have produced limited progress on core issues including enrichment limits, stockpile disposal, verification, and sanctions relief, with recent statements indicating Iran views any end to enrichment on its soil as a red line. IAEA reports and June 2026 statements highlight ongoing cooperation gaps and calls for renewed inspections of enriched material, while intermittent strikes, a fragile ceasefire, and Iran's linkage of talks to Lebanon ceasefires and economic concessions have further complicated timelines. With the deadline less than three weeks away and no breakthrough evident, market pricing aligns with the absence of verifiable diplomatic momentum toward such an agreement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volumen
$2,324,232Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. **Traders assign an 78% probability to "No" on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled US-Iran nuclear talks and Iran's consistent refusal to relinquish domestic enrichment capabilities.**
Negotiations mediated by Oman and others since early 2026 have produced limited progress on core issues including enrichment limits, stockpile disposal, verification, and sanctions relief, with recent statements indicating Iran views any end to enrichment on its soil as a red line. IAEA reports and June 2026 statements highlight ongoing cooperation gaps and calls for renewed inspections of enriched material, while intermittent strikes, a fragile ceasefire, and Iran's linkage of talks to Lebanon ceasefires and economic concessions have further complicated timelines. With the deadline less than three weeks away and no breakthrough evident, market pricing aligns with the absence of verifiable diplomatic momentum toward such an agreement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,327,385Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign an 78% probability to "No" on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled US-Iran nuclear talks and Iran's consistent refusal to relinquish domestic enrichment capabilities.** Negotiations mediated by Oman and others since early 2026 have produced limited progress on core issues including enrichment limits, stockpile disposal, verification, and sanctions relief, with recent statements indicating Iran views any end to enrichment on its soil as a red line. IAEA reports and June 2026 statements highlight ongoing cooperation gaps and calls for renewed inspections of enriched material, while intermittent strikes, a fragile ceasefire, and Iran's linkage of talks to Lebanon ceasefires and economic concessions have further complicated timelines. With the deadline less than three weeks away and no breakthrough evident, market pricing aligns with the absence of verifiable diplomatic momentum toward such an agreement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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