Trader consensus prices "No" at 72.5% for Iran agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by the recent breakdown in U.S.-Iran nuclear talks and military escalation. On March 25, the United States presented a 15-point plan demanding Iran halt its nuclear program, hand over 450 kg of 60% enriched uranium to the IAEA, and cease enrichment entirely—demands Iran has rejected as preconditions for negotiations. IAEA reports from late February confirmed Iran's 440 kg stockpile of near-weapons-grade uranium stored underground at Isfahan, with inspectors unable to verify suspension of activities post-U.S.-Israeli strikes that damaged Natanz and Fordow facilities. Netanyahu's March 19 claim that Iran lacks enrichment capacity underscores degradation but no diplomatic concession, leaving slim prospects for a public agreement amid ongoing sanctions and verification disputes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertStimmt der Iran zu, die Anreicherung von Uran bis zum 30. Juni zu beenden?
Stimmt der Iran zu, die Anreicherung von Uran bis zum 30. Juni zu beenden?
Ja
$136,993 Vol.
$136,993 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Ja
$136,993 Vol.
$136,993 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 72.5% for Iran agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by the recent breakdown in U.S.-Iran nuclear talks and military escalation. On March 25, the United States presented a 15-point plan demanding Iran halt its nuclear program, hand over 450 kg of 60% enriched uranium to the IAEA, and cease enrichment entirely—demands Iran has rejected as preconditions for negotiations. IAEA reports from late February confirmed Iran's 440 kg stockpile of near-weapons-grade uranium stored underground at Isfahan, with inspectors unable to verify suspension of activities post-U.S.-Israeli strikes that damaged Natanz and Fordow facilities. Netanyahu's March 19 claim that Iran lacks enrichment capacity underscores degradation but no diplomatic concession, leaving slim prospects for a public agreement amid ongoing sanctions and verification disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volumen
$136,993Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 72.5% for Iran agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by the recent breakdown in U.S.-Iran nuclear talks and military escalation. On March 25, the United States presented a 15-point plan demanding Iran halt its nuclear program, hand over 450 kg of 60% enriched uranium to the IAEA, and cease enrichment entirely—demands Iran has rejected as preconditions for negotiations. IAEA reports from late February confirmed Iran's 440 kg stockpile of near-weapons-grade uranium stored underground at Isfahan, with inspectors unable to verify suspension of activities post-U.S.-Israeli strikes that damaged Natanz and Fordow facilities. Netanyahu's March 19 claim that Iran lacks enrichment capacity underscores degradation but no diplomatic concession, leaving slim prospects for a public agreement amid ongoing sanctions and verification disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$136,993Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 72.5% for Iran agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by the recent breakdown in U.S.-Iran nuclear talks and military escalation. On March 25, the United States presented a 15-point plan demanding Iran halt its nuclear program, hand over 450 kg of 60% enriched uranium to the IAEA, and cease enrichment entirely—demands Iran has rejected as preconditions for negotiations. IAEA reports from late February confirmed Iran's 440 kg stockpile of near-weapons-grade uranium stored underground at Isfahan, with inspectors unable to verify suspension of activities post-U.S.-Israeli strikes that damaged Natanz and Fordow facilities. Netanyahu's March 19 claim that Iran lacks enrichment capacity underscores degradation but no diplomatic concession, leaving slim prospects for a public agreement amid ongoing sanctions and verification disputes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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