Recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in Isfahan and Bushehr, reported as recently as March 27, have escalated tensions, undermining prospects for a nuclear deal as the June 30 deadline approaches. The US presented a 15-point proposal on March 25 demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, cease uranium enrichment, and surrender its 440kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium—demands rejected by Tehran and Supreme Leader Khamenei, who vows to continue enrichment. IAEA access remains restricted following 2025 US and Israeli strikes, fueling uncertainty over Iran's program. Stalled Geneva talks and ongoing military actions reflect trader consensus that diplomatic breakthrough is improbable, pricing "No" at 72%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertStimmt der Iran zu, die Anreicherung von Uran bis zum 30. Juni zu beenden?
Stimmt der Iran zu, die Anreicherung von Uran bis zum 30. Juni zu beenden?
Ja
$137,742 Vol.
$137,742 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Ja
$137,742 Vol.
$137,742 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in Isfahan and Bushehr, reported as recently as March 27, have escalated tensions, undermining prospects for a nuclear deal as the June 30 deadline approaches. The US presented a 15-point proposal on March 25 demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, cease uranium enrichment, and surrender its 440kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium—demands rejected by Tehran and Supreme Leader Khamenei, who vows to continue enrichment. IAEA access remains restricted following 2025 US and Israeli strikes, fueling uncertainty over Iran's program. Stalled Geneva talks and ongoing military actions reflect trader consensus that diplomatic breakthrough is improbable, pricing "No" at 72%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volumen
$137,742Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in Isfahan and Bushehr, reported as recently as March 27, have escalated tensions, undermining prospects for a nuclear deal as the June 30 deadline approaches. The US presented a 15-point proposal on March 25 demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, cease uranium enrichment, and surrender its 440kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium—demands rejected by Tehran and Supreme Leader Khamenei, who vows to continue enrichment. IAEA access remains restricted following 2025 US and Israeli strikes, fueling uncertainty over Iran's program. Stalled Geneva talks and ongoing military actions reflect trader consensus that diplomatic breakthrough is improbable, pricing "No" at 72%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$137,742Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in Isfahan and Bushehr, reported as recently as March 27, have escalated tensions, undermining prospects for a nuclear deal as the June 30 deadline approaches. The US presented a 15-point proposal on March 25 demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, cease uranium enrichment, and surrender its 440kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium—demands rejected by Tehran and Supreme Leader Khamenei, who vows to continue enrichment. IAEA access remains restricted following 2025 US and Israeli strikes, fueling uncertainty over Iran's program. Stalled Geneva talks and ongoing military actions reflect trader consensus that diplomatic breakthrough is improbable, pricing "No" at 72%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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